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Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally

Desert Wind II Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix

Tract 04013103207 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,275 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 04013103207 covers part of the Desert Wind II area of Phoenix, AZ, and scores 3/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 2,275 residents. The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10.

Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 5% Owners 95%
Tract context
Occupied units752
Renter share5.1%
SVI overall0.16
Poverty rate4.4%
Median income$166,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 2 tracts In Desert Wind II
Very High
Within parent city
11 th percentile
Rank, 11th percentileLowHigh
#337 of 379 tracts In Phoenix
Very Low
Within county
36 th percentile
Rank, 36th percentileLowHigh
#648 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Low
Within state
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Phoenix and the region

Centroid at 33.6044, -111.9345 · click any tract to drill in

Why Desert Wind II scores 3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
4.4% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$3,250 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0

How Desert Wind II compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Desert Wind II risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.03.0This tracttract 103207Phoenix: 3.63.6Phoenixparent cityCounty: 3.73.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.83.8Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 16

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 9Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 5.07%Avg annual filing rate
  • 7.1%Peak (2001)
  • 1Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131032072001: 3 filings (7.14/100 renter HHs)2002: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2003: 2 filings (4.76/100 renter HHs)2004: 3 filings (7.14/100 renter HHs)2005: 1 filings (1.22/100 renter HHs)
Filings dropped 67% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Desert Wind II. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Desert Wind II

Average gross rent is $3,250, 105% above the Phoenix average. The voucher gap is 66.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. On the softer side, rent-regulation exposure reads 1/10.

Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Food insecurity runs 7.2% against 17.8% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 9 evictions over 4 years of observation.

It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.7% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. Filings peaked in 2001 at 7.1% of renter households.

In a typical year about 5.1% of renter households face a filing. On the national scale it lands near the 20th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

At 5% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 2.4/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013103207

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013103207?

Census tract 04013103207 in the Desert Wind II neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013103207?

Median gross rent is $3,250/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013103207?

4.4% of residents in tract 04013103207 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,275.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013103207?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 16th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 36th, minority 45th, housing 36th.
Q5

Is tract 04013103207 considered part of Desert Wind II?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013103207 fall within Desert Wind II (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013103207?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 9 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 04013103207 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.07% of renter households, peaking at 7.1% in 2001. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013103207 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013103207 compare to Phoenix overall?

Tract 04013103207 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix

Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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