Melrose District Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix

Against Maricopa County at 46.0%, 62% of renters here are cost-burdened. 100% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Food insecurity runs 40.5% against 17.8% nationally. Annualized rent equals 44% of average household income of $27,604, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.

The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. At $1,012 a month, rents run 36% under what the rest of Phoenix commands.

Running hot, economic stress reads 9/10. The poverty rate is 36%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Well under the midpoint, supply constraint reads 1/10.

Housing insecurity runs 27.3% against 14.2% nationally. Against the Maricopa County average of 3.7, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points.

On the national scale it lands near the 61st percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9/10.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.