Within neighborhood
20
th percentile
Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #45,786 of 84,120 nationally
Lake Biltmore Village Eviction Risk: Moderate , Phoenix
Tract 04013104402 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,474 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
Census tract 04013104402 covers part of the Lake Biltmore Village area of Phoenix, AZ, and scores 4.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. Cost burden runs 60% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County.
Risk score
4.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 45%
Stable renters 30%
Owners 25%
Tract context
Occupied units1,170
Renter share75.2%
SVI overall0.84
Poverty rate12.5%
Median income$70,455
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
53
th percentile
Moderate
Within county
70
th percentile
Elevated
Within state
68
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.5792, -112.1096 · click any tract to drill in
Why Lake Biltmore Village scores 4.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
12.5% poverty · this tract
3.1
Supply constraint
$1,589 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Lake Biltmore Village compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 84
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 64%Socioeconomic
- 51%Household composition
- 83%Racial/ethnic minority
- 98%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 461Total filings over 5 yrs
- 11.05%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.7%Peak (2004)
- 85Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 102% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Lake Biltmore Village. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.2%Housing insecurity
- 8.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 19.7%Food insecurity
- 13.8%SNAP enrollment
- 10.5%Transit barriers
- 12.7%No health insurance
- 16.7%Frequent mental distress
- 31.0%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Lake Biltmore Village
The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10.
75% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. The severe-burden share is 18%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10.
The filing record is not thin: 461 evictions over 5 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2004, when 17.7% of renter households were served.
In a typical year about 11.1% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 46% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.6/10.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely. Average gross rent is $1,589, close to the Phoenix average.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013104402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013104402?
Census tract 04013104402 in the Lake Biltmore Village neighborhood scores 4.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013104402?
Median gross rent is $1,589/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 60% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013104402?
12.5% of residents in tract 04013104402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,474.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013104402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 84th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 64th, household 51th, minority 83th, housing 98th.
Q5
Is tract 04013104402 considered part of Lake Biltmore Village?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013104402 fall within Lake Biltmore Village (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013104402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 461 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013104402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.05% of renter households, peaking at 17.7% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013104402 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013104402 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013104402 scores 4.2/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Paradise City
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Paradise Valley Mobilhome Park
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Parkwood
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Rancho Hermoso
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Ridgegate
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
South Phoenix
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Melrose District
5
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Lake Biltmore Village
5
/ 10 · Moderate
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