Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #59,654 of 84,120 nationally
Shadow Mountain Eviction Risk: Lower , Phoenix
Tract 04013103502 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 6,051 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi
Tract 04013103502 sits in the Shadow Mountain area of Phoenix eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3.4/10. Population here is 6,051. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.
Risk score
3.4
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 19%
Stable renters 17%
Owners 64%
Tract context
Occupied units2,441
Renter share36.4%
SVI overall0.63
Poverty rate10.4%
Median income$92,398
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
34
th percentile
Low
Within county
52
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
49
th percentile
Moderate
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.6064, -112.0256 · click any tract to drill in
Why Shadow Mountain scores 3.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
10.4% poverty · this tract
2.6
Supply constraint
$1,727 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Shadow Mountain compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 63
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 63%Socioeconomic
- 31%Household composition
- 51%Racial/ethnic minority
- 76%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 295Total filings over 5 yrs
- 10.05%Avg annual filing rate
- 17.3%Peak (2004)
- 35Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 34% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 9.8%Housing insecurity
- 5.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.9%Food insecurity
- 9.4%SNAP enrollment
- 7.4%Transit barriers
- 10.0%No health insurance
- 15.1%Frequent mental distress
- 29.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Shadow Mountain
The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10.
Cost burden runs 52% here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 295 filings here across 5 tracked years.
Average gross rent is $1,727, 9% above the Phoenix average. The worst year on record was 2004, when 17.3% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 10.1% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 29% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 6.6/10.
Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. It tracks the Maricopa County average of 3.7 closely.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013103502
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013103502?
Census tract 04013103502 in the Shadow Mountain neighborhood scores 3.4/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013103502?
Median gross rent is $1,727/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 52% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013103502?
10.4% of residents in tract 04013103502 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,051.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013103502?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 63th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 63th, household 31th, minority 51th, housing 76th.
Q5
Is tract 04013103502 considered part of Shadow Mountain?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013103502 fall within Shadow Mountain (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013103502?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 295 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013103502 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 10.05% of renter households, peaking at 17.3% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013103502 struggle to pay rent?
About 9.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013103502 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013103502 scores 3.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
Top eight tracts in Phoenix ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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5
/ 10 · Moderate
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5
/ 10 · Moderate
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5
/ 10 · Moderate
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5
/ 10 · Moderate
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5
/ 10 · Moderate
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5
/ 10 · Moderate
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/ 10 · Moderate
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5
/ 10 · Moderate
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