Within parent city
97
th percentile
Very High
Census Tract · Ranked #32,842 of 84,120 nationally
Phoenix Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04013114402 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 1,756
Census tract 04013114402 covers part of Phoenix, AZ, and scores 5/10 on landlord eviction risk. Food insecurity runs 40.4% against 17.8% nationally.
Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17%
Stable renters 36%
Owners 47%
Tract context
Occupied units566
Renter share52.5%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate29.7%
Median income$64,625
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
88
th percentile
High
Within state
91
th percentile
Very High
National
61
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Phoenix and the region
Centroid at 33.4440, -112.1041 · click any tract to drill in
Why Phoenix scores 5
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Phoenix
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
29.7% poverty · this tract
7.4
Supply constraint
$1,234 rent vs county FMR
1.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Phoenix
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
3.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Phoenix
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Phoenix
3.0
How Phoenix compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 80
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 47%Household composition
- 92%Racial/ethnic minority
- 68%Housing & transportation
Historical context · 1930s redlining
HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining
This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.
- 0%Grade A
- 0%Grade B
- 49%Grade C
- 2%Grade D · redlined
Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 146Total filings over 5 yrs
- 8.61%Avg annual filing rate
- 10.3%Peak (2003)
- 35Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 67% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 27.6%Housing insecurity
- 15.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 40.4%Food insecurity
- 32.4%SNAP enrollment
- 19.0%Transit barriers
- 32.2%No health insurance
- 18.8%Frequent mental distress
- 41.7%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Phoenix
Cost burden runs around a third here against 46.0% across Maricopa County. Adults with no health insurance runs 32.2% against 11.3% nationally. Pulling hardest the other way is rent-regulation exposure at 1/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.3/10.
The poverty rate is 30%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. Average gross rent is $1,234, 22% below the Phoenix average. It sits 1.3 points above the Maricopa County average of 3.7.
Court records carry 146 eviction filings across 5 observed years. The worst year on record was 2003, when 10.3% of renter households were served. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.
In a typical year about 8.6% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013114402
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013114402?
Census tract 04013114402 in Phoenix scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013114402?
Median gross rent is $1,234/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 32% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013114402?
29.7% of residents in tract 04013114402 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,756.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013114402?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 47th, minority 92th, housing 68th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013114402?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 146 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013114402 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 8.61% of renter households, peaking at 10.3% in 2003. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04013114402 struggle to pay rent?
About 27.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 15.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04013114402 compare to Phoenix overall?
Tract 04013114402 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Phoenix at 3.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Phoenix eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8
Was tract 04013114402 historically redlined?
Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 2% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
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Highest-risk tracts in Phoenix
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