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Neighborhood · Ranked #81,634 of 84,120 nationally

Cielo Noche Eviction Risk: Lower , Queen Creek

Tract 04013816800 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 8,015 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

Census tract 04013816800 sits in Cielo Noche in Queen Creek eviction risk, Arizona eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.4/10. That is riskier than about 55% of US census tracts.

About 49% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 21% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $2,346 a month while the average household earns $136,895 a year, roughly 21% of income at the averages. About 20% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
1.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10% Stable renters 10% Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units2,317
Renter share19.9%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate4.3%
Median income$136,895

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 1 tracts In Cielo Noche
Moderate
Within parent city
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 14 tracts In Queen Creek
Very Low
Within county
1 th percentile
Rank, 1st percentileLowHigh
#995 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#1,712 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Queen Creek and the region

Centroid at 33.2588, -111.6553 · click any tract to drill in

Why Cielo Noche scores 1.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Queen Creek
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
4.3% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,346 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Queen Creek
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Queen Creek
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Queen Creek
3.7

How Cielo Noche compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Cielo Noche risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.21.2This tracttract 816800Queen Creek: 2.52.5Queen Creekparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 20

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 14Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 18.07%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.5%Peak (2005)
  • 7Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040138168002001: 1 filings (9.11/100 renter HHs)2002: 1 filings (9.11/100 renter HHs)2003: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2004: 5 filings (45.53/100 renter HHs)2005: 7 filings (8.52/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 600% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Cielo Noche

The heaviest input here is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Queen Creek eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 8.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 14 eviction filings here over 4 tracked years, with about 18.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 8.5% of renter households in 2005.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013816800

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013816800?

Census tract 04013816800 in the Cielo Noche neighborhood scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013816800?

Median gross rent is $2,346/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013816800?

4.3% of residents in tract 04013816800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,015.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013816800?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 50th, minority 42th, housing 18th.
Q5

Is tract 04013816800 considered part of Cielo Noche?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013816800 fall within Cielo Noche (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013816800?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 14 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 04013816800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.07% of renter households, peaking at 8.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7

What share of households in tract 04013816800 struggle to pay rent?

About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8

How does tract 04013816800 compare to Queen Creek overall?

Tract 04013816800 scores 1.2/10, lower than the parent city of Queen Creek at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Queen Creek eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Queen Creek

Top eight tracts in Queen Creek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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