Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Cielo Noche Eviction Risk: Lower , Queen Creek
Tract 04013816800 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 8,015 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
04013816800 is a census tract in the Cielo Noche area of Queen Creek, AZ. It scores 3/10 for landlords. The dominant input is court filing pressure at 8.9/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 10%
Stable renters 10%
Owners 80%
Tract context
Occupied units2,317
Renter share19.9%
SVI overall0.20
Poverty rate4.3%
Median income$136,895
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
100
th percentile
Very High
Within county
1
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Queen Creek and the region
Centroid at 33.2588, -111.6553 · click any tract to drill in
Why Cielo Noche scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Queen Creek
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
4.3% poverty · this tract
1.1
Supply constraint
$2,346 rent vs county FMR
7.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Queen Creek
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Queen Creek
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Queen Creek
3.7
How Cielo Noche compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 20
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 17%Socioeconomic
- 50%Household composition
- 42%Racial/ethnic minority
- 18%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 14Total filings over 4 yrs
- 18.07%Avg annual filing rate
- 8.5%Peak (2005)
- 7Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings climbed 600% over the past 5 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.1%Housing insecurity
- 4.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.3%Food insecurity
- 5.9%SNAP enrollment
- 5.8%Transit barriers
- 7.8%No health insurance
- 14.6%Frequent mental distress
- 22.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Cielo Noche
Running cool, economic stress reads 1.1/10. The severe-burden share is 21%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The voucher gap is 20.3%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Well under the midpoint, state political climate reads 2.2/10. SNAP participation runs 5.9% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 9.3% against 17.8% nationally.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 14 filings here across 4 tracked years. It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7.
The worst year on record was 2005, when 8.5% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 18.1% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. Only 20% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013816800
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013816800?
Census tract 04013816800 in the Cielo Noche neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013816800?
Median gross rent is $2,346/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013816800?
4.3% of residents in tract 04013816800 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 8,015.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013816800?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 20th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 17th, household 50th, minority 42th, housing 18th.
Q5
Is tract 04013816800 considered part of Cielo Noche?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013816800 fall within Cielo Noche (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013816800?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 14 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 04013816800 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 18.07% of renter households, peaking at 8.5% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013816800 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013816800 compare to Queen Creek overall?
Tract 04013816800 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Queen Creek at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Queen Creek eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Queen Creek
Top eight tracts in Queen Creek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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