Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Villagio Eviction Risk: Lower , Queen Creek
Tract 04013816700 ·
Maricopa, AZ · pop 2,639 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 04013816700 in the Villagio area of Queen Creek, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,639. The severe-burden share is 56%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 1%Stable renters 1%Owners 98%
Tract context
Occupied units819
Renter share2.2%
SVI overall0.02
Poverty rate2.9%
Median income$205,353
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50th percentile
#1 of 1 tracts In Villagio
Moderate
Within parent city
15th percentile
#12 of 14 tracts In Queen Creek
Very Low
Within county
1th percentile
#998 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
40th percentile
#1,065 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Queen Creek and the region
Centroid at 33.2572, -111.6775 · click any tract to drill in
Why Villagio scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Queen Creek
4.7
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
2.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,875 rent vs county FMR
9.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Queen Creek
4.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Queen Creek
2.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Queen Creek
3.7
How Villagio compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 2
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
3%Socioeconomic
5%Household composition
46%Racial/ethnic minority
6%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
2Total filings over 2 yrs
38.89%Avg annual filing rate
68.6%Peak (2004)
1Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year2001 to 2005
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
7.5%Housing insecurity
4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
8.5%Food insecurity
5.2%SNAP enrollment
5.4%Transit barriers
6.9%No health insurance
14.1%Frequent mental distress
21.3%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Villagio
The voucher gap is 47.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 9.7/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10.
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.9/10. Average gross rent is $2,875, 30% above the Queen Creek average. 56% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, above the Maricopa County average of 46.0%.
SNAP participation runs 5.2% against 15.2% nationally. Food insecurity runs 8.5% against 17.8% nationally. The filing record is not thin: 2 evictions over 2 years of observation.
It sits 0.7 points below the Maricopa County average of 3.7. Filings peaked in 2004 at 68.6% of renter households.
In a typical year about 38.9% of renter households face a filing.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04013816700
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013816700?
Census tract 04013816700 in the Villagio neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04013816700?
Median gross rent is $2,875/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04013816700?
2.9% of residents in tract 04013816700 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,639.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04013816700?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 2th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 3th, household 5th, minority 46th, housing 6th.
Q5
Is tract 04013816700 considered part of Villagio?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04013816700 fall within Villagio (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013816700?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 2 eviction filings across 2 validated years in tract 04013816700 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 38.89% of renter households, peaking at 68.6% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04013816700 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04013816700 compare to Queen Creek overall?
Tract 04013816700 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Queen Creek at 3.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Queen Creek eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Queen Creek
Top eight tracts in Queen Creek ranked by composite eviction-risk score.