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Census Tract · Ranked #81,634 of 84,120 nationally

Paradise Valley Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04013105003 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,959

Here is how census tract 04013105003, in Paradise Valley, looks to a landlord: a 3.9/10 eviction-risk score (Lower tier) across a population of 3,959. That is riskier than roughly 11% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

0% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a modest level, and 0% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $3,501 a month against an average household income of $250,001 a year, roughly 17% of income at the averages. Renters make up 4% of occupied homes.

Risk score
1.2
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 4% Owners 96%
Tract context
Occupied units1,487
Renter share4.0%
SVI overall0.00
Poverty rate3.7%
Median income$250,001

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
33 th percentile
Rank, 33rd percentileLowHigh
#3 of 4 tracts In Paradise Valley
Low
Within county
5 th percentile
Rank, 5th percentileLowHigh
#964 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Very Low
Within state
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#1,712 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Very Low
National
3 th percentile
Rank, 3rd percentileLowHigh
#81,634 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Paradise Valley and the region

Centroid at 33.5658, -111.9475 · click any tract to drill in

Why Paradise Valley scores 1.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Paradise Valley
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
3.7% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Paradise Valley
1.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Paradise Valley
2.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Paradise Valley
2.4

How Paradise Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Paradise Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 1.21.2This tracttract 105003Paradise Valley: 2.02.0Paradise Valleyparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 0

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 11Total filings over 4 yrs
  • 5.94%Avg annual filing rate
  • 8.2%Peak (2005)
  • 4Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040131050032001: 2 filings (4.46/100 renter HHs)2002: 2 filings (4.46/100 renter HHs)2003: 3 filings (6.69/100 renter HHs)2004: 0 filings (0.00/100 renter HHs)2005: 4 filings (8.15/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 100% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Paradise Valley

What moves this score most is supply constraint at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Paradise Valley, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and below the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 0th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

In CDC survey modeling, about 4.1% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 2.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is among the easier places to operate: faster process, lighter tenant-protection overhead, and shorter typical cases.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013105003

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013105003?

Census tract 04013105003 in Paradise Valley scores 1.2/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013105003?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 0% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013105003?

3.7% of residents in tract 04013105003 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,959.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013105003?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 0th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 1th, household 8th, minority 25th, housing 2th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013105003?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 11 eviction filings across 4 validated years in tract 04013105003 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.94% of renter households, peaking at 8.2% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013105003 struggle to pay rent?

About 4.1% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013105003 compare to Paradise Valley overall?

Tract 04013105003 scores 1.2/10, lower than the parent city of Paradise Valley at 2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Paradise Valley; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Paradise Valley

Top eight tracts in Paradise Valley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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