Skip to content
Census Tract · Ranked #46,312 of 84,120 nationally

Sun City Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04013071802 · Maricopa, AZ · pop 3,313 · 88% of tract blocks fall in Sun City

For landlords sizing up Sun City, census tract 04013071802 carries a moderate eviction-risk score of $1/10. That is riskier than about 40% of US census tracts.

59% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 41% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,218 monthly, set against $41,200 in average yearly household income, roughly 35% of income at the averages. Renters make up 19% of occupied homes.

Risk score
3.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 11% Stable renters 8% Owners 81%
Tract context
Occupied units1,988
Renter share19.3%
SVI overall0.45
Poverty rate12.0%
Median income$41,200

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
70 th percentile
Rank, 70th percentileLowHigh
#4 of 11 tracts In Sun City
Elevated
Within county
64 th percentile
Rank, 64th percentileLowHigh
#360 of 1,009 tracts In Maricopa
Elevated
Within state
54 th percentile
Rank, 54th percentileLowHigh
#812 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Moderate
National
45 th percentile
Rank, 45th percentileLowHigh
#46,312 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sun City and the region

Centroid at 33.5726, -112.2798 · click any tract to drill in

Why Sun City scores 3.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sun City
5.6
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.1
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
12.0% poverty · this tract
3.0
Supply constraint
$1,218 rent vs county FMR
1.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sun City
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.9
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sun City
1.2
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sun City
2.1

How Sun City compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Sun City risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 3.73.7This tracttract 071802Sun City: 2.52.5Sun Cityparent cityCounty: 3.33.3Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 17Total filings over 5 yrs
  • 0.87%Avg annual filing rate
  • 1.5%Peak (2004)
  • 3Filings in 2005 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2001 to 2005
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040130718022001: 2 filings (0.49/100 renter HHs)2002: 2 filings (0.49/100 renter HHs)2003: 4 filings (0.98/100 renter HHs)2004: 6 filings (1.47/100 renter HHs)2005: 3 filings (0.90/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 50% over the past 5 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Sun City

The heaviest input here is economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Sun City eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Maricopa County average of 5.1 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.2% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 4.2% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04013071802

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04013071802?

Census tract 04013071802 in Sun City scores 3.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04013071802?

Median gross rent is $1,218/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04013071802?

12.0% of residents in tract 04013071802 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,313.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04013071802?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 75th, household 22th, minority 21th, housing 31th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04013071802?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 17 eviction filings across 5 validated years in tract 04013071802 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 0.87% of renter households, peaking at 1.5% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04013071802 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04013071802 compare to Sun City overall?

Tract 04013071802 scores 3.7/10, higher than the parent city of Sun City at 2.5/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sun City eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sun City

Top eight tracts in Sun City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

Related