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Casas Adobes, Arizona eviction risk overview
Ranked #1,040 of 1,861 nationally

Casas Adobes, AZ Eviction Risk: MODERATE

Pima County · Population 72,059

In 2026
Risk score
5.3
MODERATE

91th percentile, Arizona.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 — 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min1.5 Average3.1 Now5.3
10 5 1976 · score 1.5 1977 · score 1.5 1978 · score 1.5 1979 · score 1.6 1980 · score 1.7 1981 · score 1.7 1982 · score 1.8 1983 · score 1.7 1984 · score 1.7 1985 · score 1.8 1986 · score 1.8 1987 · score 1.8 1988 · score 1.8 1989 · score 1.8 1990 · score 1.9 1991 · score 1.9 1992 · score 2.3 1993 · score 2.3 1994 · score 2.3 1995 · score 2.4 1996 · score 2.6 1997 · score 2.6 1998 · score 2.7 1999 · score 2.8 2000 · score 3.1 2001 · score 3.3 2002 · score 3.3 2003 · score 3.3 2004 · score 3.2 2005 · score 3.2 2006 · score 3.3 2007 · score 3.4 2008 · score 3.6 2009 · score 3.7 2010 · score 3.8 2011 · score 3.8 2012 · score 3.8 2013 · score 3.9 2014 · score 4.0 2015 · score 4.1 2016 · score 4.3 2017 · score 4.4 2018 · score 4.7 2019 · score 4.9 2020 · score 5.4 2021 · score 5.5 2022 · score 5.5 2023 · score 5.5 2024 · score 5.0 2025 · score 5.3 2026 · score 5.3

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 4.7 Regional 4.7 State 2.2 Economic 5.1 Supply 7.7 Rent Control 6.6 Eviction 2.3 Tenant 7.1 Housing 5.3 5.3 MODERATE
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +15.2% (2024)
    4.7
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    4.7
  3. State political climate
    Arizona legislature & governorship
    2.2
  4. Economic stress
    6.8% poverty · 4.5% unemp.
    5.1
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,650 average · 32.5% renters
    7.7
  6. Rent Control risk
    30.8% of income on rent
    6.6
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    42 days filing → judgment
    2.3
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    32.5% renters
    7.1
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    5.3
Geographic context

Risk heat across Casas Adobes and the region

Click any city to see its score

How Casas Adobes compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Pima County
Elevated
#19 of 49 cities
Rank in county — 63th percentileBottomTop
#19 of 49 cities in Pima County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in Arizona
Very High
#47 of 464 cities
Rank in state — 90th percentileBottomTop
#47 of 464 cities in Arizona for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
Casas Adobes risk score vs. county / state / U.S.Casas Adobes: 5.35.3Casas AdobesThis cityCounty: 4.84.8Countyavg in countyState: 4.04.0Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.35.3U.S.national avg
Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 5.3
    / 10 · MODERATE
    The verdict

    A Moderate-tier market.

    Composite 5.3/10. Mid-range market; standard documentation usually wins. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+3.8 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 42d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,650/mo. A contested eviction takes 42 days and costs $1,911–$4,298 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  3. 32.5%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 72,059 residents, 32.5% rent. 31% are spending 30%+ income on rent, 6.8% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026

    ACS 1970-present · once the migration overlay is in.

  4. 4.7
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 4.7 and 4.7 (Dem margin +15.2% (2024)). State climate at 2.2 — mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 2.2
    State politics
    The process

    Moderate calendar, moderate friction.

    State political climate 2.2/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies — and shows up in process. Eviction process difficulty reads 2.3, housing court bias 5.3, rent-control risk 6.6. Standard process speed for the state.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +-2.7 since '00
    197620012026

    Court-clerk data lands in the next release.

  6. 5.1
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the background risk.

    Economic stress: 5.1. Supply constraint: 7.7. The numbers behind those: 6.8% poverty, 4.5% unemployment, 31% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

Casas Adobes sits in the quick & cheap quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Tucson, AZ · 43d · ~$3.3k all-in ($78/day) · score 4.6 Tucson Marana, AZ · 39d · ~$3.2k all-in ($83/day) · score 4.7 Marana Catalina Foothills, AZ · 36d · ~$3.4k all-in ($95/day) · score 4.8 Catalina Foothills Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.7 Phoenix Mesa, AZ · 38d · ~$3.1k all-in ($82/day) · score 3.1 Mesa Gilbert, AZ · 37d · ~$3.6k all-in ($97/day) · score 2.4 Gilbert Chandler, AZ · 40d · ~$3.1k all-in ($78/day) · score 2.7 Chandler Glendale, AZ · 42d · ~$3.0k all-in ($72/day) · score 3.6 Glendale Scottsdale, AZ · 37d · ~$3.3k all-in ($88/day) · score 2.4 Scottsdale Peoria, AZ · 37d · ~$3.3k all-in ($90/day) · score 2.7 Peoria Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 3.4 Houston Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4.2 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 4.9 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 8.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.8 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 7.8 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 8.2 Seattle Casas Adobes
Casas Adobes · 42d · ~$3.1k all-in ($74/day) · score 5.3 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in Casas Adobes, AZ

Landlording in Casas Adobes, Arizona, presents a manageable operating environment for documented landlords. The Eviction Risk Score is 5.3/10 (MODERATE tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above — covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Mid-tier market where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

Casas Adobes is a city of 72,059 residents where 32.5% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 30.8% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,650/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing — a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How Casas Adobes eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 2.3/10 — a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in Casas Adobes closes 42 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of Casas Adobes's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 5.3/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in Casas Adobes runs $1,911 to $4,298 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice — common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 42 days of typical timeline and $1,650/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 7.1/10 in Casas Adobes, and the city carries meaningful rent control exposure (6.6/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5–3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks — but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In Arizona, deposit cap and refund window are statute — exceed at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in Casas Adobes: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a MODERATE tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one — retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match Arizona's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $4,298 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in Casas Adobes

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
Cost-versus-timeline trade-off: at 42 days and roughly $4,298 on the high end, cash-for-keys at $1,719 to $2,578 typically beats the legal route for non-aggravated cases. Default judgment frequency is high under ARLTA ARS 33.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What happens if my tenant pays after I file for eviction?

If your tenant pays the full amount due (including late fees) after you've filed but before the court hearing, the judge will likely dismiss your eviction case. You can accept the payment, but understand it resets the situation. If they pay a partial amount, you have a choice: accept it and risk having to re-serve notices, or refuse it and proceed with the eviction for the remaining balance. Consult an attorney for specific advice on partial payments.

Q2

Can I charge late fees in Casas Adobes?

Yes, Arizona law allows landlords to charge reasonable late fees. Your lease agreement must clearly state the amount of the late fee and when it will be applied. There isn't a specific cap on late fees in Arizona, but courts generally consider fees that are excessive or punitive to be unenforceable. A common practice is a flat fee (e.g., $50) or a percentage of the rent (e.g., 5%), often after a grace period.

Q3

Do I need a lawyer for every eviction in Casas Adobes?

While you are legally allowed to represent yourself in Arizona Justice Court, it's highly recommended to use an attorney for evictions, especially if the tenant contests the case or if you're unfamiliar with the process. A lawyer ensures all notices are served correctly, court filings are accurate, and you navigate the legal system without costly errors. Given the "housing court bias" score of 5.3, having professional representation can be a significant advantage.

Q4

What if my tenant abandons the property?

If you believe a tenant has abandoned the property, Arizona law has specific procedures you must follow before taking possession. You generally need to post a notice of abandonment and wait a certain number of days (usually 5 days if rent is unpaid, 10 days if rent is current but they've been gone for 7 days) before taking back the unit and dealing with any left-behind property. Do not assume abandonment without following the legal steps, or you could be liable for wrongful eviction.

Q5

Are there rent control laws in Casas Adobes?

No, Arizona has a statewide preemption against rent control, meaning local jurisdictions like Casas Adobes cannot enact their own rent control ordinances. This is reflected in the rent-control-risk sub-score of 6.6, which indicates a moderate but not immediate threat. However, this could change in the future if state law is amended, so staying informed on Arizona rent control rules is wise.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 5.3/10 places Casas Adobes in the 91th percentile of Arizona cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1–10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976 — a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.