2 census tracts · pop 12,820 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4.1/10
· range 3–5.4
Jaynes is a 2-tract suburb of Casas Adobes, AZ, population 12,820. That produces an Eviction Risk Score of 4.1/10, Moderate tier. 55% of renters here are cost-burdened at the 30% threshold, dramatically above the Casas Adobes rate of 30.8%.
Scores across the 2 constituent tracts range from 3 to 5.4. A 2.4-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. Pulling the other way is eviction-process difficulty, at 2.4/10. At $1,323 a month, rents sit 20% under what the rest of Casas Adobes commands.
14% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. Filings are well documented here: 1,871 across 2 observed tracts.
Filing activity peaked in 2007 at 28.1% of renter households. The most recent observed rate, 13.8% in 2017, is well off that peak. The closest comparables inside the same city are Valley View and Casas Adobes.
Social vulnerability runs high at 8.4/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. Annual rent works out to 23% of average household income of $69,882.
33% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Underwrite the address, not the area: with 2.4 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
4.1
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Jaynes vs Casas AdobesHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority72%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport72%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
Eviction filings · Princeton Eviction Lab
Court-record eviction history in Jaynes
Aggregated across 2 validated constituent tracts. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households, pop-weighted.
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
1,871Total filings (sum)
14.44%Avg annual filing rate
28.1%Peak year (2007)
13.35%Latest filed (2017)
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in Jaynes
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
14.9%Housing insecurity
10.1%Utility shutoff threat
19.8%Food insecurity
15.6%SNAP enrollment
15.7%No health insurance
36.1%Any disability
Frequently asked
About Jaynes
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for Jaynes?
Jaynes scores 4.1/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does Jaynes compare to Casas Adobes overall?
Jaynes scores 0.2 points higher than Casas Adobes overall (3.9/10). Renters spend 55% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $1,323 vs $1,650.
Q3
What is the average rent in Jaynes?
Average gross rent in Jaynes is $1,323/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 55% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of Jaynes residents are renters?
33% of Jaynes households are renter-occupied (vs 33% in Casas Adobes). The neighborhood has 12,820 residents.
Q5
Is Jaynes a high social-vulnerability area?
Jaynes sits in the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in Jaynes have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in Jaynes is census tract 04019004506 (score 5.4/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3 to 5.4, a spread of 2.4 points.
Q7
How safe is Jaynes for landlords?
Jaynes carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4.1/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Casas Adobes as a whole (3.9/10), this neighborhood is in line with the citywide level.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of Jaynes?
Jaynes has 12,354 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (43.1%), Hispanic / Latino (39.5%), Other / Multiracial (9.5%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
