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Census Tract · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally

Drexel Heights Eviction Risk: Moderate

Tract 04019004320 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,251

The Elevated-tier score of 6.7/10 for census tract 04019004320 reflects conditions in Drexel Heights, Arizona. That is riskier than about 91% of US census tracts.

80% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 13% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,321 a month while the average household earns $55,966 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 32% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 26% Stable renters 7% Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units846
Renter share32.0%
SVI overall0.88
Poverty rate30.0%
Median income$55,966

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In Drexel Heights
Very High
Within county
77 th percentile
Rank, 77th percentileLowHigh
#64 of 270 tracts In Pima
High
Within state
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#292 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
High
National
74 th percentile
Rank, 74th percentileLowHigh
#22,213 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Drexel Heights and the region

Centroid at 32.1224, -111.0582 · click any tract to drill in

Why Drexel Heights scores 5.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Drexel Heights
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
30.0% poverty · this tract
7.5
Supply constraint
$1,321 rent vs county FMR
4.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from Drexel Heights
7.6
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
1.7
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Drexel Heights
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Drexel Heights
7.2

How Drexel Heights compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Drexel Heights risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.25.2This tracttract 004320Drexel Heights: 2.72.7Drexel Heightsparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 88

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Eviction filings

Court-record eviction history

Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1

Historic baseline (2000–2018)

  • 262Total filings over 12 yrs
  • 11.05%Avg annual filing rate
  • 27.5%Peak (2007)
  • 23Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings by year 2004 to 2017
Year-by-year eviction filings in tract 040190043202004: 18 filings (8.31/100 renter HHs)2005: 23 filings (15.83/100 renter HHs)2006: 33 filings (22.71/100 renter HHs)2007: 40 filings (27.52/100 renter HHs)2008: 13 filings (8.95/100 renter HHs)2009: 21 filings (14.45/100 renter HHs)2010: 16 filings (5.14/100 renter HHs)2011: 17 filings (4.70/100 renter HHs)2012: 15 filings (4.14/100 renter HHs)2013: 22 filings (6.08/100 renter HHs)2016: 21 filings (7.05/100 renter HHs)2017: 23 filings (7.72/100 renter HHs)
Filings climbed 28% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Drexel Heights

What moves this score most is rent-control risk at 7.6/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Drexel Heights eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pima County average of 5.5 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 21.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 88th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004320

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004320?

Census tract 04019004320 in Drexel Heights scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019004320?

Median gross rent is $1,321/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 80% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004320?

30.0% of residents in tract 04019004320 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,251.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004320?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 88th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 94th, minority 89th, housing 40th.
Q5

How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004320?

Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 262 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004320 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.05% of renter households, peaking at 27.5% in 2007. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6

What share of households in tract 04019004320 struggle to pay rent?

About 21.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 04019004320 compare to Drexel Heights overall?

Tract 04019004320 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Drexel Heights at 2.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Drexel Heights eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Drexel Heights

Top eight tracts in Drexel Heights ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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