Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #31,049 of 84,120 nationally
Poet's Square Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson
Tract 04019003400 · Pima, AZ · pop 5,865 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi
Tract 04019003400 sits in the Poet's Square area of Tucson eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.1/10. It is home to 5,865 residents. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.
Risk score
5.1
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 20%
Owners 67%
Tract context
Occupied units2,433
Renter share32.8%
SVI overall0.62
Poverty rate22.4%
Median income$60,865
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
61
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
92
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2162, -110.8977 · click any tract to drill in
Why Poet's Square scores 5.1
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
22.4% poverty · this tract
5.6
Supply constraint
$1,146 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Poet's Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 62
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 58%Socioeconomic
- 57%Household composition
- 71%Racial/ethnic minority
- 56%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 412Total filings over 12 yrs
- 5.71%Avg annual filing rate
- 9.1%Peak (2008)
- 35Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings stayed roughly flat over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Poet's Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 12.2%Housing insecurity
- 9.2%Utility-shutoff threat
- 16.4%Food insecurity
- 13.6%SNAP enrollment
- 9.7%Transit barriers
- 11.9%No health insurance
- 16.9%Frequent mental distress
- 34.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Poet's Square
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Running cool, state political climate reads 2.2/10. The poverty rate is 22%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
It sits 1.2 points above the Pima County average of 3.9. Severe burden reaches 11%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against Pima County at 43.8%, 39% of renters here are cost-burdened.
Court records carry 412 eviction filings across 12 observed years. The worst year on record was 2008, when 9.1% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 5.7% of renter households face a filing.
On the national scale it lands near the 63rd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 6.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.3 points hotter. Average gross rent is $1,146, close to the Tucson average.
Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019003400
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019003400?
Census tract 04019003400 in the Poet's Square neighborhood scores 5.1/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019003400?
Median gross rent is $1,146/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019003400?
22.4% of residents in tract 04019003400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,865.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019003400?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 62th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 58th, household 57th, minority 71th, housing 56th.
Q5
Is tract 04019003400 considered part of Poet's Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019003400 fall within Poet's Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019003400?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 412 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019003400 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 5.71% of renter households, peaking at 9.1% in 2008. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019003400 struggle to pay rent?
About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.2% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019003400 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019003400 scores 5.1/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Barrio Histórico District
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Emery Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Flowing Wells
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Jefferson Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Vandenberg Village
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Poet's Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Barrio Hollywood
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Emery Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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