Within parent city
60
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #22,213 of 84,120 nationally
Tucson Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04019004037 · Pima, AZ · pop 2,678
Census tract 04019004037 sits in Tucson eviction risk in Pima County, Arizona eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 5.9/10. On the national scale it ranks #22,471 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 61% of renter households, a severe level, and 35% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $1,096 a month against an average household income of $51,314 a year, roughly 26% of income at the averages. About 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 27%
Stable renters 18%
Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,181
Renter share44.9%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate21.9%
Median income$51,314
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
76
th percentile
High
Within state
84
th percentile
High
National
74
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.1883, -110.8324 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tucson scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
21.9% poverty · this tract
5.5
Supply constraint
$1,096 rent vs county FMR
3.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Tucson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 89
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 84%Socioeconomic
- 66%Household composition
- 66%Racial/ethnic minority
- 93%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 906Total filings over 12 yrs
- 15.10%Avg annual filing rate
- 30.9%Peak (2004)
- 50Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 64% over the past 12 months.
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 14.8%Housing insecurity
- 10.7%Utility-shutoff threat
- 20.7%Food insecurity
- 17.4%SNAP enrollment
- 11.7%Transit barriers
- 14.5%No health insurance
- 18.8%Frequent mental distress
- 38.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tucson
What moves this score most is economic stress at 5.5/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tucson eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pima County average of 5.5 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 14.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 10.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 906 eviction filings here over 12 tracked years, with about 15.1% of renter households facing a filing in a typical year. Filings peaked at 30.9% of renter households in 2004.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004037
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004037?
Census tract 04019004037 in Tucson scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004037?
Median gross rent is $1,096/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004037?
21.9% of residents in tract 04019004037 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,678.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004037?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 84th, household 66th, minority 66th, housing 93th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004037?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 906 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004037 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 15.10% of renter households, peaking at 30.9% in 2004. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04019004037 struggle to pay rent?
About 14.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 10.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04019004037 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019004037 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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Amphitheater
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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Twelve Hundred River Condominums
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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Palo Verde
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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Amphitheater
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
West University
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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04019002202
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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Keeling
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AZ
04019003506
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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