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Census Tract · Ranked #63,481 of 84,120 nationally

Tucson Estates Eviction Risk: Lower

Tract 04019004435 · Pima, AZ · pop 4,204 · 98% of tract blocks fall in Tucson Estates

Census tract 04019004435 sits in Tucson eviction risk Estates, Arizona eviction laws, and carries an eviction-risk score of 4.3/10. That is riskier than about 19% of US census tracts.

About 3% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a modest level, and 3% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,349 monthly, set against $71,679 in average yearly household income, roughly 23% of income at the averages. Renters make up 15% of occupied homes.

Risk score
2.7
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 0% Stable renters 14% Owners 86%
Tract context
Occupied units1,525
Renter share14.9%
SVI overall0.41
Poverty rate8.0%
Median income$71,679

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 4 tracts In Tucson Estates
Elevated
Within county
30 th percentile
Rank, 30th percentileLowHigh
#189 of 270 tracts In Pima
Low
Within state
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#1,206 of 1,765 tracts In Arizona
Low
National
25 th percentile
Rank, 25th percentileLowHigh
#63,481 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across Tucson Estates and the region

Centroid at 32.1830, -111.1124 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tucson Estates scores 2.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Tucson Estates
6.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
8.0% poverty · this tract
2.0
Supply constraint
$1,349 rent vs county FMR
4.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson Estates
5.9
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson Estates
2.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson Estates
5.0

How Tucson Estates compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Tucson Estates risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 2.72.7This tracttract 004435Tucson Estates: 2.42.4Tucson Estatesparent cityCounty: 3.83.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 3.63.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 41

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tucson Estates

The heaviest input here is rent-control risk at 5.9/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tucson eviction risk Estates, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Pima County average of 5.5 and below the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 10.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 6.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 41st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019004435

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004435?

Census tract 04019004435 in Tucson Estates scores 2.7/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 04019004435?

Median gross rent is $1,349/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 3% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004435?

8.0% of residents in tract 04019004435 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,204.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004435?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 41th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 34th, household 74th, minority 76th, housing 20th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 04019004435 struggle to pay rent?

About 10.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 04019004435 compare to Tucson Estates overall?

Tract 04019004435 scores 2.7/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson Estates at 2.4/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk Estates; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tucson Estates

Top eight tracts in Tucson Estates ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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