Within parent city
43
th percentile
Moderate
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Sahuarita Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 04019004128 · Pima, AZ · pop 4,547 · 97% of tract blocks fall in Sahuarita
Tract 04019004128 sits in Sahuarita eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. It is home to 4,547 residents. The severe-burden share is 37%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 16%
Owners 66%
Tract context
Occupied units1,479
Renter share33.3%
SVI overall0.30
Poverty rate1.2%
Median income$107,813
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
19
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sahuarita and the region
Centroid at 31.8755, -110.9728 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sahuarita scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sahuarita
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
1.2% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$2,712 rent vs county FMR
10.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sahuarita
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sahuarita
4.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sahuarita
5.0
How Sahuarita compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 30
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 9%Socioeconomic
- 62%Household composition
- 67%Racial/ethnic minority
- 40%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 6.7%Housing insecurity
- 4.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 7.2%Food insecurity
- 4.3%SNAP enrollment
- 5.0%Transit barriers
- 9.0%No health insurance
- 13.0%Frequent mental distress
- 31.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sahuarita
The dominant input is supply constraint at 10/10. Average gross rent is $2,712, 48% above the Sahuarita average. The voucher gap is 97.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Running cool, economic stress reads 1/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
Cost burden runs 53% here against 43.8% across Pima County. SNAP participation runs 4.3% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 7.2% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points.
Nationally it ranks #67,219 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 3.7/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004128
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004128?
Census tract 04019004128 in Sahuarita scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004128?
Median gross rent is $2,712/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004128?
1.2% of residents in tract 04019004128 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,547.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004128?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 30th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 9th, household 62th, minority 67th, housing 40th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 04019004128 struggle to pay rent?
About 6.7% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 04019004128 compare to Sahuarita overall?
Tract 04019004128 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Sahuarita at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sahuarita eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sahuarita
Top eight tracts in Sahuarita ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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