Within neighborhood
0
th percentile
Very Low
Neighborhood · Ranked #44,543 of 84,120 nationally
Poet's Square Eviction Risk: Lower , Tucson
Tract 04019003201 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,173 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
The Poet's Square area of Tucson is where census tract 04019003201 sits, home to 3,173 residents. Its landlord eviction-risk score is 5.1/10. On the national scale it ranks #47,385 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.
Rent eats 30% or more of income for 35% of renter households, a high level, and 8% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,107 a month while the average household earns $83,304 a year, roughly 16% of income at the averages. Renters make up 38% of occupied homes.
Risk score
3.8
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 13%
Stable renters 25%
Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,271
Renter share38.2%
SVI overall0.40
Poverty rate8.8%
Median income$83,304
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
16
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
49
th percentile
Moderate
Within state
57
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2283, -110.8964 · click any tract to drill in
Why Poet's Square scores 3.8
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
8.8% poverty · this tract
2.2
Supply constraint
$1,107 rent vs county FMR
3.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Poet's Square compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 40
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 36%Socioeconomic
- 73%Household composition
- 59%Racial/ethnic minority
- 21%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Poet's Square. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 8.6%Housing insecurity
- 5.9%Utility-shutoff threat
- 10.1%Food insecurity
- 7.0%SNAP enrollment
- 6.5%Transit barriers
- 8.7%No health insurance
- 15.4%Frequent mental distress
- 28.6%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Poet's Square
The score leans hardest on tenant organizing strength at 5.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tucson eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Pima County average of 5.5 and in line with the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 8.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 5.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 40th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019003201
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019003201?
Census tract 04019003201 in the Poet's Square neighborhood scores 3.8/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019003201?
Median gross rent is $1,107/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019003201?
8.8% of residents in tract 04019003201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,173.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019003201?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 40th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 36th, household 73th, minority 59th, housing 21th.
Q5
Is tract 04019003201 considered part of Poet's Square?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019003201 fall within Poet's Square (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 04019003201 struggle to pay rent?
About 8.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04019003201 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019003201 scores 3.8/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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6.3
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6.3
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/ 10 · Elevated
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6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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04019002202
6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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6.3
/ 10 · Elevated
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