Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Census Tract · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Sahuarita Eviction Risk: Lower
Tract 04019004323 · Pima, AZ · pop 4,018
Tract 04019004323 sits in Sahuarita eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 3/10. Population here is 4,018. The voucher gap is 41.7%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 9%
Stable renters 12%
Owners 79%
Tract context
Occupied units1,085
Renter share21.3%
SVI overall0.29
Poverty rate6.5%
Median income$138,274
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
15
th percentile
Very Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
National
20
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Sahuarita and the region
Centroid at 31.9773, -110.9638 · click any tract to drill in
Why Sahuarita scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Sahuarita
7.1
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.5% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,946 rent vs county FMR
9.2
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sahuarita
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sahuarita
4.8
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sahuarita
5.0
How Sahuarita compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 29
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 50%Socioeconomic
- 38%Household composition
- 69%Racial/ethnic minority
- 6%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 29Total filings over 9 yrs
- 1.69%Avg annual filing rate
- 2.9%Peak (2012)
- 4Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 11.5%Housing insecurity
- 7.3%Utility-shutoff threat
- 12.5%Food insecurity
- 8.1%SNAP enrollment
- 7.8%Transit barriers
- 11.5%No health insurance
- 16.3%Frequent mental distress
- 25.9%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Sahuarita
The severe-burden share is 31%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. The dominant input is supply constraint at 9.2/10.
Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. On the softer side, economic stress reads 1.6/10. It sits 0.9 points below the Pima County average of 3.9.
Court records carry 29 eviction filings across 9 observed years. SNAP participation runs 8.1% against 15.2% nationally.
The worst year on record was 2012, when 2.9% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 1.7% of renter households face a filing. That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
At 21% renter-occupied this is predominantly owner territory, and comps have to be drawn from further out. Social vulnerability reads 3.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004323
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004323?
Census tract 04019004323 in Sahuarita scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004323?
Median gross rent is $1,946/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 44% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004323?
6.5% of residents in tract 04019004323 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,018.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004323?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 29th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 50th, household 38th, minority 69th, housing 6th.
Q5
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004323?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 29 eviction filings across 9 validated years in tract 04019004323 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 1.69% of renter households, peaking at 2.9% in 2012. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q6
What share of households in tract 04019004323 struggle to pay rent?
About 11.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 04019004323 compare to Sahuarita overall?
Tract 04019004323 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Sahuarita at 3.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sahuarita eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Sahuarita
Top eight tracts in Sahuarita ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
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