Within neighborhood
50
th percentile
Moderate
Neighborhood · Ranked #67,219 of 84,120 nationally
Colonia Verde Eviction Risk: Lower , Tucson
Tract 04019004032 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,823 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
With a score of 3/10, tract 04019004032 in the Colonia Verde area of Tucson, AZ reads lower for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,823 residents. The clearest offset is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10.
Risk score
3
Lower
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18%
Stable renters 19%
Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,981
Renter share37.3%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate6.4%
Median income$74,688
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
10
th percentile
Very Low
Within county
28
th percentile
Low
Within state
40
th percentile
Low
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2435, -110.8326 · click any tract to drill in
Why Colonia Verde scores 3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
6.4% poverty · this tract
1.6
Supply constraint
$1,221 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Colonia Verde compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 54
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 29%Socioeconomic
- 71%Household composition
- 64%Racial/ethnic minority
- 66%Housing & transportation
Eviction filings
Court-record eviction history
Court-validated eviction filings collected from county clerks and consolidated by the Eviction Lab at Princeton University. Filing rate is filings per 100 renter households.1
Historic baseline (2000–2018)
- 874Total filings over 12 yrs
- 11.41%Avg annual filing rate
- 25.0%Peak (2005)
- 36Filings in 2017 (latest validated)
Filings dropped 74% over the past 12 months.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 7.8%Housing insecurity
- 5.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 9.3%Food insecurity
- 6.5%SNAP enrollment
- 6.2%Transit barriers
- 7.9%No health insurance
- 15.0%Frequent mental distress
- 30.8%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Colonia Verde
Running hot, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Running cool, economic stress reads 1.6/10.
Severe burden reaches 18%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. Against Pima County at 43.8%, roughly one in two of renters here are cost-burdened. SNAP participation runs 6.5% against 15.2% nationally.
Food insecurity runs 9.3% against 17.8% nationally. Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points.
The filing record is not thin: 874 evictions over 12 years of observation. The worst year on record was 2005, when 25.0% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 11.4% of renter households face a filing.
That is riskier than roughly 20% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019004032
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019004032?
Census tract 04019004032 in the Colonia Verde neighborhood scores 3/10 (Lower tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019004032?
Median gross rent is $1,221/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 49% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019004032?
6.4% of residents in tract 04019004032 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,823.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019004032?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 29th, household 71th, minority 64th, housing 66th.
Q5
Is tract 04019004032 considered part of Colonia Verde?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 04019004032 fall within Colonia Verde (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
How many evictions are filed each year in tract 04019004032?
Princeton Eviction Lab recorded 874 eviction filings across 12 validated years in tract 04019004032 (2000-2018). The average annual filing rate is 11.41% of renter households, peaking at 25.0% in 2005. Source: Eviction Lab tract-validated 2024 release.
Q7
What share of households in tract 04019004032 struggle to pay rent?
About 7.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q8
How does tract 04019004032 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019004032 scores 3/10, lower than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Rincon Heights
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Palo Verde Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019003901
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002801
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Broadway Northeast
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002201
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Palo Verde
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019002202
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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