Keeling Eviction Risk: Moderate , Tucson

29% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. The clearest offset is supply constraint at 1.2/10. The poverty rate is 32%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Well under the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. This is renter territory: 71% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10. Average gross rent is $855, 25% below the Tucson average. Food insecurity runs 29.8% against 17.8% nationally.

Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Princeton's Eviction Lab logged 2,372 filings here across 12 tracked years. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 15.3% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two.

The worst year on record was 2008, when 21.6% of renter households were served. In a typical year about 12.8% of renter households face a filing.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.