Within parent city
85
th percentile
High
Census Tract · Ranked #29,336 of 84,120 nationally
Tucson Eviction Risk: Moderate
Tract 04019003505 · Pima, AZ · pop 4,840
Tract 04019003505 sits in Tucson eviction risk, AZ, carrying an eviction-risk score of 5.2/10. Population here is 4,840. Severe burden reaches 41%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Risk score
5.2
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40%
Stable renters 27%
Owners 33%
Tract context
Occupied units1,786
Renter share66.7%
SVI overall1.00
Poverty rate30.5%
Median income$40,348
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within county
90
th percentile
Very High
Within state
96
th percentile
Very High
National
65
th percentile
Elevated
Geographic context
Risk heat across Tucson and the region
Centroid at 32.2034, -110.8916 · click any tract to drill in
Why Tucson scores 5.2
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Tucson
7.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.9
State political climate
Arizona legislature & governorship
2.2
Economic stress
30.5% poverty · this tract
7.6
Supply constraint
$1,002 rent vs county FMR
2.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Tucson
1.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
4.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Tucson
5.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Tucson
4.5
How Tucson compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 100
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 98%Socioeconomic
- 96%Household composition
- 78%Racial/ethnic minority
- 99%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 23.2%Housing insecurity
- 17.1%Utility-shutoff threat
- 33.0%Food insecurity
- 29.5%SNAP enrollment
- 17.7%Transit barriers
- 22.0%No health insurance
- 21.5%Frequent mental distress
- 44.1%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Tucson
Against Pima County at 43.8%, 59% of renters here are cost-burdened. The main counterweight is rent-regulation exposure at 1.5/10. On the high side, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.
The poverty rate is 30%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. 67% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.
Disability prevalence runs 44.1% against 31.5% nationally. It sits 1.3 points above the Pima County average of 3.9. On the softer side, state political climate reads 2.2/10.
Housing insecurity runs 23.2% against 14.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,002, 12% below the Tucson average. That is riskier than roughly 65% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.
CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 10/10.
These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.
Frequently asked
About tract 04019003505
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019003505?
Census tract 04019003505 in Tucson scores 5.2/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 04019003505?
Median gross rent is $1,002/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 04019003505?
30.5% of residents in tract 04019003505 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,840.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 04019003505?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 100th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 98th, household 96th, minority 78th, housing 99th.
Q5
What share of households in tract 04019003505 struggle to pay rent?
About 23.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6
How does tract 04019003505 compare to Tucson overall?
Tract 04019003505 scores 5.2/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.8/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Tucson
Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AZ
Poet's Square
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019004112
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Dunbar Spring
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Emery Park
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Twelve Hundred River Condominums
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Keeling
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
Palo Verde
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
Tract · AZ
04019004115
5.2
/ 10 · Moderate
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