Census Tract · Ranked #8,912 of 84,120 nationally

Tucson Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 04019003506 · Pima, AZ · pop 3,326

Eviction risk in Tucson eviction risk in Pima County centers on tract 04019003506, which scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier) and is home to 3,326 residents. That is riskier than roughly 86% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

About 65% of renters carry a rent burden of 30% of income or higher, a severe level, and 38% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average rent runs $967 a month against an average household income of $29,882 a year, roughly 39% of income at the averages. About 74% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.3

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 48% Stable renters 26% Owners 26%

Tract context

Occupied units1,518

Renter share74.0%

SVI overall0.90

Poverty rate42.4%

Median income$29,882

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tucson and the region

Centroid at 32.2011, -110.9032 · click any tract to drill in

Why Tucson scores 6.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Tucson

7.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.9

State political climate

Arizona legislature & governorship

2.2

Economic stress

42.4% poverty · this tract

10.0

Supply constraint

$967 rent vs county FMR

2.0

Rent control risk

Inherited from Tucson

1.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

4.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Tucson

5.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Tucson

4.5

How Tucson compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 90

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

87%Socioeconomic
94%Household composition
84%Racial/ethnic minority
67%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

24.8%Housing insecurity
18.9%Utility-shutoff threat
35.2%Food insecurity
32.5%SNAP enrollment
19.1%Transit barriers
22.0%No health insurance
22.0%Frequent mental distress
43.7%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Tucson

The score leans hardest on economic stress at $1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Tucson eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Pima County average of 5.5 and above the Arizona statewide average of 4.9. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 24.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 18.9% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 90th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 04019003506

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 04019003506?

Census tract 04019003506 in Tucson scores 6.3/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 04019003506?

Median gross rent is $967/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 65% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 04019003506?

42.4% of residents in tract 04019003506 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,326.

How socially vulnerable is tract 04019003506?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 90th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 87th, household 94th, minority 84th, housing 67th.

What share of households in tract 04019003506 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 18.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 04019003506 compare to Tucson overall?

Tract 04019003506 scores 6.3/10, higher than the parent city of Tucson at 3.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tucson eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tucson

Top eight tracts in Tucson ranked by composite eviction-risk score.