Tucson Eviction Risk: Moderate

Cost burden runs around two-thirds here against 43.8% across Pima County. The score leans hardest on economic stress at 10/10. The poverty rate is 42%, which in this model reads as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment.

Annualized rent equals 39% of average household income of $29,882, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. Food insecurity runs 35.2% against 17.8% nationally. This is renter territory: 74% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Running cool, rent-regulation exposure reads 1.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 8.4/10.

Disability prevalence runs 43.7% against 31.5% nationally. Against the Pima County average of 3.9, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.3 points. Average gross rent is $967, 16% below the Tucson average.

On the national scale it lands near the 65th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Social vulnerability reads 9.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the AZ average is 3.8, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.