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Neighborhood · Fortuna Foothills, AZ

Arroyo del Fortuna Eviction Risk: Moderate

2 census tracts · pop 4,370 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 4/10 · range 3.9–4.1

Arroyo del Fortuna is a white (non-hispanic) neighborhood in Fortuna Foothills with 2 census tracts and a population of 4,370 residents. The neighborhood's pop-weighted eviction-risk score of 4/10 (Moderate tier) blends state law, county-level filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty. 53% of renters here pay at least 30% of household income on rent, and 33% are severely cost-burdened (≥50% of income). Average gross rent of $926/month sits 19% lower than the Fortuna Foothills citywide average ($1,141).

Risk score
4
Moderate
2 tracts · population-weighted
Arroyo del Fortuna vs Fortuna Foothills How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
53.2% +65%
Fortuna Foothills: 32.2%
Average gross rent
$926 -19%
Fortuna Foothills: $1,141
Average HH income
$52,567 -9%
Fortuna Foothills: $57,583
Poverty rate
13.9% +20%
Fortuna Foothills: 11.6%
Renter share
11.6% -29%
Fortuna Foothills: 16.4%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Arroyo del Fortuna and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 2 tracts span score 3.9–4.1

Why Arroyo del Fortuna scores 4

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 2.2–2.2 across tracts
2.2
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 4.7–4.7 across tracts
4.7
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 5.2–5.2 across tracts
5.2
Rent control risk
53% of income on rent · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 2.4–2.4 across tracts
2.4
Tenant organizing strength
12% renter households · Range 4.2–4.2 across tracts
4.2
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.0–7.0 across tracts
7.0
Economic stress
13.9% below poverty line · Range 3.2–3.9 across tracts
3.4
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 1.2–2.0 across tracts
1.7
Risk score comparison

Arroyo del Fortuna vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Arroyo del Fortuna score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Arroyo del Fortuna: 4.04.0Arroyo del FortunaNeighborhoodParent city: 3.03.0Parent cityhost cityState: 2.72.7Stateavg in stateU.S.: 4.74.7U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Census tracts

2 tracts in Arroyo del Fortuna

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
04027011124 4.1 1,559 27% $850
04027011112 3.9 2,811 68% $968
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 45

Pop-weighted across 2 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 46%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 63%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 32%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 38%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Arroyo del Fortuna

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Arroyo del Fortuna

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Arroyo del Fortuna?

Arroyo del Fortuna scores 4/10 (Moderate tier) across 2 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Arroyo del Fortuna compare to Fortuna Foothills overall?

Arroyo del Fortuna scores 1.0 points higher than Fortuna Foothills overall (3/10). Renters spend 53% of income on rent vs 32% citywide. Average rent: $926 vs $1,141.
Q3

What is the average rent in Arroyo del Fortuna?

Average gross rent in Arroyo del Fortuna is $926/month (pop-weighted across 2 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Arroyo del Fortuna residents are renters?

12% of Arroyo del Fortuna households are renter-occupied (vs 16% in Fortuna Foothills). The neighborhood has 4,370 residents.
Q5

Is Arroyo del Fortuna a high social-vulnerability area?

Arroyo del Fortuna sits in the 45th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Arroyo del Fortuna have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Arroyo del Fortuna is census tract 04027011124 (score 4.1/10). Across the 2 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 3.9 to 4.1, a spread of 0.2 points.
Q7

How safe is Arroyo del Fortuna for landlords?

Arroyo del Fortuna carries a moderate-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (4/10). Pop-weighted across 2 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Fortuna Foothills as a whole (3/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Arroyo del Fortuna?

Arroyo del Fortuna has 4,750 residents (White (non-Hispanic) Neighborhood). Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (77.7%), Hispanic / Latino (17.5%), Other / Multiracial (3.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Arroyo del Fortuna

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Fortuna Foothills

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Arroyo del Fortuna.

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