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Neighborhood · Ranked #24,926 of 84,120 nationally

Maple Valley Eviction Risk: Moderate , Fayetteville

Tract 05143010516 · Washington County, AR · pop 4,417 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Census tract 05143010516 runs through the Maple Valley area of Fayetteville. With 4,417 residents, it scores 4.2/10 for landlords. That is riskier than roughly 17% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 35% of renter households, a high level, and 14% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,125 a month while the average household earns $71,311 a year, roughly 19% of income at the averages. Renters make up 86% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
5
Moderate
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 55% Owners 15%
Tract context
Occupied units2,324
Renter share85.7%
SVI overall0.28
Poverty rate16.9%
Median income$71,311

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 2 tracts In Maple Valley
Very Low
Within parent city
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 25 tracts In Fayetteville
Moderate
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 54 tracts In Washington County
Elevated
Within state
58 th percentile
Rank, 58th percentileLowHigh
#348 of 823 tracts In Arkansas
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region

Centroid at 36.0847, -94.2060 · click any tract to drill in

Why Maple Valley scores 5

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Fayetteville
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
16.9% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$1,125 rent vs county FMR
5.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fayetteville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fayetteville
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fayetteville
2.5

How Maple Valley compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Maple Valley risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 5.05.0This tracttract 010516Fayetteville: 2.32.3Fayettevilleparent cityCounty: 4.54.5Countyavg tract in countyState: 4.74.7Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 28

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Maple Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Maple Valley

The score leans hardest on supply constraint at 5.1/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Washington County average of 4.0 and in line with the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 11.3% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 8.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 28th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 05143010516

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05143010516?

Census tract 05143010516 in the Maple Valley neighborhood scores 5/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 05143010516?

Median gross rent is $1,125/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 35% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 05143010516?

16.9% of residents in tract 05143010516 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,417.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 05143010516?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 28th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 60th, household 4th, minority 42th, housing 27th.
Q5

Is tract 05143010516 considered part of Maple Valley?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05143010516 fall within Maple Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 05143010516 struggle to pay rent?

About 11.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 8.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 05143010516 compare to Fayetteville overall?

Tract 05143010516 scores 5/10, higher than the parent city of Fayetteville at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville

Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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