Within neighborhood
100
th percentile
Very High
Neighborhood · Ranked #8,138 of 84,120 nationally
Maple Valley Eviction Risk: Elevated , Fayetteville
Tract 05143010602 · Washington County, AR · pop 4,068 · neighborhood within 0.8 mi
Landlord eviction risk in census tract 05143010602 (the Maple Valley neighborhood of Fayetteville, Arkansas) comes in at 4.8/10, the Moderate tier. That is riskier than about 33% of US census tracts.
48% of renter households here spend at least 30% of income on rent, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $927 a month while the average household earns $32,128 a year, roughly 35% of income at the averages. Renters make up 82% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.
Risk score
6.4
Elevated
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39%
Stable renters 43%
Owners 18%
Tract context
Occupied units2,102
Renter share81.5%
SVI overall0.51
Poverty rate26.8%
Median income$32,128
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Within parent city
71
th percentile
Elevated
Within county
87
th percentile
High
Within state
93
th percentile
Very High
Geographic context
Risk heat across Fayetteville and the region
Centroid at 36.0883, -94.1853 · click any tract to drill in
Why Maple Valley scores 6.4
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyLocal political climate
Inherited from Fayetteville
5.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.8
State political climate
Arkansas legislature & governorship
1.5
Economic stress
26.8% poverty · this tract
6.7
Supply constraint
$927 rent vs county FMR
3.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Fayetteville
1.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
2.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Fayetteville
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Fayetteville
2.5
How Maple Valley compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.CDC Social Vulnerability Index
SVI percentile: 51
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 74%Socioeconomic
- 4%Household composition
- 43%Racial/ethnic minority
- 71%Housing & transportation
Comparable tracts
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Maple Valley. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 18.9%Housing insecurity
- 14.4%Utility-shutoff threat
- 25.5%Food insecurity
- 17.3%SNAP enrollment
- 14.8%Transit barriers
- 14.0%No health insurance
- 23.8%Frequent mental distress
- 38.5%Any disability
Analysis
What drives eviction risk in Maple Valley
The score leans hardest on economic stress at 6.7/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.
Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Washington County average of 4.0 and above the Arkansas statewide average of 4.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.
In CDC survey modeling, about 18.9% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 14.4% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.
The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 51st percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.
For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.
Frequently asked
About tract 05143010602
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 05143010602?
Census tract 05143010602 in the Maple Valley neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2
What is the average rent in tract 05143010602?
Median gross rent is $927/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3
What is the poverty rate in tract 05143010602?
26.8% of residents in tract 05143010602 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,068.
Q4
How socially vulnerable is tract 05143010602?
CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 51th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 4th, minority 43th, housing 71th.
Q5
Is tract 05143010602 considered part of Maple Valley?
Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 05143010602 fall within Maple Valley (neighborhood centroid within 0.8 miles, OSM data).
Q6
What share of households in tract 05143010602 struggle to pay rent?
About 18.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 14.4% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7
How does tract 05143010602 compare to Fayetteville overall?
Tract 05143010602 scores 6.4/10, higher than the parent city of Fayetteville at 2.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Fayetteville eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts
Highest-risk tracts in Fayetteville
Top eight tracts in Fayetteville ranked by composite eviction-risk score.
Tract · AR
VA Hill
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
The Vue
6.8
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
The Vue
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
The Vue
6.7
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
Elm-Erstan-Baker
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
05143011105
6.6
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
University House
6.5
/ 10 · Elevated
Tract · AR
05143010114
5.7
/ 10 · Elevated
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