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Neighborhood · Berkeley, CA

Central Berkeley Eviction Risk: High

3 census tracts · pop 11,396 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 9/10 · range 8.4–9.9

Central Berkeley spans 3 census tracts of Berkeley, CA and houses 11,396 people. Scored across those inputs it reaches 9/10, placing it in the High tier. Against a Berkeley baseline of 34.0%, about half of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.

The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10. The severe-burden share is 29%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 8.4 to 9.9. A 1.5-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. On the high side is rent-regulation exposure at 7.7/10.

Running hot is housing-court posture at 7.5/10. Food insecurity affects 8.4% of adults, 9.4 points below the national rate. 4.3% of adults carry no health insurance against 11.3% nationally, a common route into sudden unpayable debt.

That places it #11 of 22 neighborhoods in Berkeley. Average gross rent runs $2,222, close to the Berkeley average.

Annual rent works out to 27% of average household income of $99,321. 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 1.5 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.

Risk score
9
High
3 tracts · population-weighted
Central Berkeley vs Berkeley How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
47.8% +41%
Berkeley: 34.0%
Average gross rent
$2,222 +4%
Berkeley: $2,133
Average HH income
$99,321 -9%
Berkeley: $108,558
Poverty rate
10.0% -40%
Berkeley: 16.8%
Renter share
60.4% +8%
Berkeley: 55.8%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Central Berkeley and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 8.4–9.9

Why Central Berkeley scores 9

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Rent control risk
48% of income on rent · Range 7.7–7.7 across tracts
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.1–6.1 across tracts
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
60% renter households · Range 9.5–9.5 across tracts
9.5
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 7.5–7.5 across tracts
7.5
Economic stress
10.0% below poverty line · Range 1.8–3.4 across tracts
2.5
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 2.4–3.7 across tracts
3.3
Risk score comparison

Central Berkeley vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Central Berkeley score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Central Berkeley: 9.09.0Central BerkeleyNeighborhoodParent city: 8.68.6Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Central Berkeley?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 1.5 points from 8.4 to 9.9. Moderate variation across constituent tracts.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Central Berkeley

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06001423000 9.9 4,549 63% $2,345
06001422200 8.5 3,280 33% $1,989
06001422300 8.4 3,567 43% $2,280
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 34

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 28%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 12%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 60%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 65%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Central Berkeley

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Central Berkeley

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Central Berkeley?

Central Berkeley scores 9/10 (High tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Central Berkeley compare to Berkeley overall?

Central Berkeley scores 0.4 points higher than Berkeley overall (8.6/10). Renters spend 48% of income on rent vs 34% citywide. Average rent: $2,222 vs $2,133.
Q3

What is the average rent in Central Berkeley?

Average gross rent in Central Berkeley eviction risk is $2,222/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Central Berkeley residents are renters?

60% of Central Berkeley households are renter-occupied (vs 56% in Berkeley). The neighborhood has 11,396 residents.
Q5

Is Central Berkeley a high social-vulnerability area?

Central Berkeley sits in the 34th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (less vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Central Berkeley have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Central Berkeley is census tract 06001423000 (score 9.9/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8.4 to 9.9, a spread of 1.5 points.
Q7

How safe is Central Berkeley for landlords?

Central Berkeley eviction risk carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (9/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Berkeley as a whole (8.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Central Berkeley?

Central Berkeley has 11,391 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (57.2%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (17.9%), Other / Multiracial (9.8%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Central Berkeley

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Berkeley

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Central Berkeley.

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