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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,393 of 84,120 nationally

Elmwood Eviction Risk: High , Berkeley

Tract 06001423902 · Alameda, CA · pop 1,512 · neighborhood within 0.3 mi

Census tract 06001423902 covers part of the Elmwood area of Berkeley, CA, and scores 8.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 1,512 residents. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.

Risk score
8.9
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 30% Stable renters 41% Owners 29%
Tract context
Occupied units702
Renter share71.2%
SVI overall0.36
Poverty rate17.7%
Median income$142,206

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Elmwood
Moderate
Within parent city
49 th percentile
Rank, 49th percentileLowHigh
#18 of 34 tracts In Berkeley
Moderate
Within county
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#128 of 378 tracts In Alameda
Elevated
Within state
78 th percentile
Rank, 78th percentileLowHigh
#1,974 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Berkeley and the region

Centroid at 37.8549, -122.2576 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elmwood scores 8.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Berkeley
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
17.7% poverty · this tract
4.4
Supply constraint
$2,506 rent vs county FMR
4.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Berkeley
7.7
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Berkeley
9.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Berkeley
7.5

How Elmwood compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elmwood risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 8.98.9This tracttract 423902Berkeley: 8.68.6Berkeleyparent cityCounty: 7.87.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 36

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: B: Still Desirable

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade B meant middle-class areas with mortgage access. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elmwood. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elmwood

Severe burden reaches 26%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate. This is renter territory: 71% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Running hot, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 2.1/10. It sits 1.1 points above the Alameda County average of 7.8.

Average gross rent is $2,506, 17% above the Berkeley average. Food insecurity runs 8.5% against 17.8% nationally. SNAP participation runs 8.1% against 15.2% nationally.

This ground was mapped B ("Still Desirable") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Oakland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 95th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 4.3/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.4 points hotter.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001423902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001423902?

Census tract 06001423902 in the Elmwood neighborhood scores 8.9/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06001423902?

Median gross rent is $2,506/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 42% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001423902?

17.7% of residents in tract 06001423902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 1,512.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001423902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 36th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 27th, household 9th, minority 48th, housing 81th.
Q5

Is tract 06001423902 considered part of Elmwood?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001423902 fall within Elmwood (neighborhood centroid within 0.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06001423902 struggle to pay rent?

About 7.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06001423902 compare to Berkeley overall?

Tract 06001423902 scores 8.9/10, higher than the parent city of Berkeley at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Berkeley eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06001423902 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of B. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Berkeley

Top eight tracts in Berkeley ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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