Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally

Elmhurst Eviction Risk: High , Oakland

Tract 06001410400 · Alameda, CA · pop 4,687 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

Tract 06001410400 sits in the Elmhurst area of Oakland eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.3/10. What pushes it up most is rent-regulation exposure at 10/10.

Risk score

9.3

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 19% Stable renters 30% Owners 51%

Tract context

Occupied units1,461

Renter share48.6%

SVI overall0.87

Poverty rate6.9%

Median income$115,268

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Oakland and the region

Centroid at 37.7408, -122.1622 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elmhurst scores 9.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Oakland

9.7

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

6.9% poverty · this tract

1.7

Supply constraint

$1,776 rent vs county FMR

1.6

Rent control risk

Inherited from Oakland

10.0

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

9.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Oakland

9.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Oakland

9.5

How Elmhurst compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 87

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

72%Socioeconomic
64%Household composition
95%Racial/ethnic minority
94%Housing & transportation

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

0%Grade A
20%Grade B
46%Grade C
11%Grade D · redlined

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elmhurst. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

23.0%Housing insecurity
12.3%Utility-shutoff threat
27.4%Food insecurity
25.8%SNAP enrollment
13.7%Transit barriers
14.4%No health insurance
19.0%Frequent mental distress
34.8%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elmhurst

On the high side, local political climate reads 9.7/10. Running hot, eviction-process difficulty reads 9.5/10.

22% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. It sits 1.5 points above the Alameda County average of 7.8.

Cost burden runs 39% here against 45.5% across Alameda County. Food insecurity runs 27.4% against 17.8% nationally.

Housing insecurity runs 23.0% against 14.2% nationally. Average gross rent is $1,776, 10% below the Oakland average. This ground was mapped C ("Definitely Declining") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Oakland. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above.

On the national scale it lands near the 96th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.8/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001410400

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001410400?

Census tract 06001410400 in the Elmhurst neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06001410400?

Median gross rent is $1,776/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 39% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001410400?

6.9% of residents in tract 06001410400 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,687.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001410400?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 87th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 72th, household 64th, minority 95th, housing 94th.

Is tract 06001410400 considered part of Elmhurst?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001410400 fall within Elmhurst (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06001410400 struggle to pay rent?

About 23.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06001410400 compare to Oakland overall?

Tract 06001410400 scores 9.3/10, lower than the parent city of Oakland at 9.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Oakland eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Was tract 06001410400 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 11% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Oakland

Top eight tracts in Oakland ranked by composite eviction-risk score.