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Neighborhood · Oakland, CA

Montclair Eviction Risk: Elevated

3 census tracts · pop 14,230 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 6.7/10 · range 4.7–8.5

Montclair is a 3-tract neighborhood of Oakland, CA, population 14,230. The Eviction Risk Score is 6.7/10, in the Elevated tier. Average gross rent is $3,501, 77% above the Oakland average of $1,979.

Scores across the 3 constituent tracts range from 4.7 to 8.5. A 3.8-point internal spread means block-level underwriting beats area-level here. The clearest offset is economic stress, at 1/10.

The voucher gap is 30.5%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which shows up as churn rather than arrears. Running hot is eviction-process difficulty at 8.3/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint is supply constraint at 8.1/10. 31% of renters spend 30% or more of household income on rent.

CDC survey data puts housing insecurity at 5.2% of adults, against 14.2% nationally. Food insecurity affects 5.2% of adults, 12.6 points below the national rate. Severe burden reaches 10%. A tenant at that level absorbs no shock: one cut shift or one repair bill converts directly into arrears.

That places it #46 of 45 neighborhoods in Oakland. Only 7% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin here; price renewals off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

For a like-for-like read, Piedmont Avenue and Upper Rockridge score within a fraction of it.

Underwrite the address, not the area: with 3.8 points between its best and worst tract, the per-tract table below is the operative number. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.

Risk score
6.7
Elevated
3 tracts · population-weighted
Montclair vs Oakland How this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
% of income on rent
31.3% +2%
Oakland: 30.6%
Average gross rent
$3,501 +77%
Oakland: $1,979
Average HH income
$247,096 +154%
Oakland: $97,369
Poverty rate
1.8% -87%
Oakland: 13.7%
Renter share
7.4% -87%
Oakland: 57.7%
Peer neighborhoods

Neighborhoods with similar eviction risk

Same county, closest by Eviction Risk Score.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Montclair and the region

Click any tract to drill in · 3 tracts span score 4.7–8.5

Why Montclair scores 6.7

9 axes · pop-weighted · 1 = landlord-friendly
State political climate
legislature & governorship · Range 6.8–6.8 across tracts
6.8
Regional political climate
County-level mix · 2024 presidential margin · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Local political climate
Parent city governance · Range 7.5–9.7 across tracts
8.7
Rent control risk
31% of income on rent · Range 1.8–10.0 across tracts
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State notice requirements & court backlog · Range 6.7–9.5 across tracts
8.3
Tenant organizing strength
7% renter households · Range 2.9–9.5 across tracts
6.6
Housing court bias
County bench composition · Range 2.2–9.5 across tracts
6.3
Economic stress
1.8% below poverty line · Range 1.0–1.0 across tracts
1.0
Supply constraint
Rent-to-FMR gap & zoning friction · Range 8.1–8.1 across tracts
8.1
Risk score comparison

Montclair vs. parent city, state, U.S.

Eviction Risk Score (0–10 scale).

Montclair score vs. parent city, state, U.S.Montclair: 6.76.7MontclairNeighborhoodParent city: 9.69.6Parent cityhost cityState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avgU.S. avg = 5.0
Variance across tracts

How uniformly does eviction risk play out in Montclair?

Left: distribution of constituent tract scores. Right: every tract as a heat square. Click any square to drill in.

Score distribution
0246810
Spread of 3.8 points from 4.7 to 8.5. This neighborhood crosses multiple risk tiers, so block-by-block conditions vary substantially.
Tracts as heat grid
Each square = one census tract. Color tracks the same green→red ramp as the chloropleth map above.
Census tracts

3 tracts in Montclair

Ranked highest-risk first. Click for per-tract detail.

Tract Score Pop % over 30% on rent Average rent
06001404501 8.5 1,820 55% $3,501
06001404502 8.3 6,110 57% $3,501
06001426100 4.7 6,300 0% $3,501
Social Vulnerability Index

CDC SVI percentile: 6

Pop-weighted across 3 tracts. Higher = more vulnerable to disaster, displacement, and rent shocks. Source: CDC/ATSDR SVI 2022.

Socioeconomic status 2%ile
Poverty, unemployment, no-HS-diploma, housing cost burden
Household characteristics 39%ile
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority 50%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport 7%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted

Eviction-adjacent indicators in Montclair

Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.

Frequently asked

About Montclair

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for Montclair?

Montclair scores 6.7/10 (Elevated tier) across 3 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2

How does Montclair compare to Oakland overall?

Montclair scores 2.9 points lower than Oakland overall (9.6/10). Renters spend 31% of income on rent vs 31% citywide. Average rent: $3,501 vs $1,979.
Q3

What is the average rent in Montclair?

Average gross rent in Montclair is $3,501/month (pop-weighted across 3 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 31% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4

What percentage of Montclair residents are renters?

7% of Montclair households are renter-occupied (vs 58% in Oakland). The neighborhood has 14,230 residents.
Q5

Is Montclair a high social-vulnerability area?

Montclair sits in the 6th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (low vulnerability). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6

Which tracts in Montclair have the highest eviction risk?

The highest-risk constituent tract in Montclair is census tract 06001404501 (score 8.5/10). Across the 3 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 4.7 to 8.5, a spread of 3.8 points.
Q7

How safe is Montclair for landlords?

Montclair carries a elevated-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (6.7/10). Pop-weighted across 3 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Oakland as a whole (9.6/10), this neighborhood is lower-risk.
Q8

What is the demographic breakdown of Montclair?

Montclair has 14,028 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (65.3%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (19.9%), Other / Multiracial (7.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
Nearby

Other neighborhoods near Montclair

Sibling neighborhoods

Other neighborhoods inside Oakland

Same parent city, ranked by score similarity to Montclair.

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