Old Oakland Historic District Eviction Risk: High

On the high side is eviction-process difficulty at 9.5/10. Sitting well above the midpoint is tenant-organizing strength at 9.5/10.

Against a Oakland baseline of 30.6%, 41% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line. This is a renter market: 78% of occupied units are tenant-occupied.

Annualized rent equals 32% of average household income here, past the 30% affordability line, which compresses the margin any screening standard has to work with. The severe-burden share is 18%. Those renters are past the 50% mark, and they miss rent for reasons that have nothing to do with willingness to pay.

The poverty rate is 21%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than the filing statistics suggest. SNAP participation is 23.8% of households versus 15.2% nationally. At $1,852 a month, rents sit 6% under what the rest of Oakland commands.

Among the 45 mapped neighborhoods of Oakland, it ranks #29 by risk, the middle third. The closest comparables inside the same city are Maxwell Park and Cleveland Heights.

Social vulnerability runs high at 8.4/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input. The 3 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.7 points apart at the extremes.

With little internal variation, 9.6/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. Scores move when the ACS release, the court-record feed, or the statute ledger behind them moves.