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Neighborhood · Ranked #12,919 of 84,120 nationally

Decoto Eviction Risk: Elevated , Union City

Tract 06001440308 · Alameda, CA · pop 6,011 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

06001440308 is a census tract in the Decoto area of Union City, CA. It scores 7/10 for landlords. Population here is 6,011. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.3/10.

Risk score
7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 31% Owners 45%
Tract context
Occupied units1,987
Renter share54.8%
SVI overall0.77
Poverty rate13.8%
Median income$113,750

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 7 tracts In Decoto
Very High
Within parent city
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 16 tracts In Union City
Very High
Within county
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#225 of 378 tracts In Alameda
Moderate
Within state
42 th percentile
Rank, 42nd percentileLowHigh
#5,249 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Union City and the region

Centroid at 37.5893, -122.0278 · click any tract to drill in

Why Decoto scores 7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Union City
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
13.8% poverty · this tract
3.5
Supply constraint
$2,374 rent vs county FMR
3.9
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
5.6

How Decoto compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Decoto risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.07.0This tracttract 440308Union City: 6.66.6Union Cityparent cityCounty: 7.87.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 77

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Decoto. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Decoto

The severe-burden share is 22%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. Running cool, court filing pressure reads 2.1/10.

It sits 0.8 points below the Alameda County average of 7.8. Average gross rent is $2,374, 12% below the Union City average.

Nationally it ranks #12,919 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 7.9/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 43% of renter households spend at least 30% of income on rent.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $113,750. 55% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001440308

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001440308?

Census tract 06001440308 in the Decoto neighborhood scores 7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06001440308?

Median gross rent is $2,374/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001440308?

13.8% of residents in tract 06001440308 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,011.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001440308?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 77th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 40th, household 78th, minority 89th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 06001440308 considered part of Decoto?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001440308 fall within Decoto (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06001440308 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06001440308 compare to Union City overall?

Tract 06001440308 scores 7/10, higher than the parent city of Union City at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Union City

Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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