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Neighborhood · Ranked #13,349 of 84,120 nationally

Decoto Eviction Risk: Elevated , Union City

Tract 06001440338 · Alameda, CA · pop 4,095 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Census tract 06001440338 covers part of the Decoto area of Union City, CA, and scores 6.9/10 on landlord eviction risk. Population here is 4,095. The dominant input is local political climate at 8.3/10.

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 32% Stable renters 42% Owners 26%
Tract context
Occupied units1,683
Renter share73.4%
SVI overall0.46
Poverty rate17.0%
Median income$132,250

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
67 th percentile
Rank, 67th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 7 tracts In Decoto
Elevated
Within parent city
87 th percentile
Rank, 87th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 16 tracts In Union City
High
Within county
40 th percentile
Rank, 40th percentileLowHigh
#226 of 378 tracts In Alameda
Moderate
Within state
41 th percentile
Rank, 41st percentileLowHigh
#5,398 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Union City and the region

Centroid at 37.5882, -122.0142 · click any tract to drill in

Why Decoto scores 6.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Union City
8.3
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.1
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
17.0% poverty · this tract
4.2
Supply constraint
$2,782 rent vs county FMR
5.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Union City
5.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Union City
4.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Union City
5.6

How Decoto compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Decoto risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.96.9This tracttract 440338Union City: 6.66.6Union Cityparent cityCounty: 7.87.8Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 46

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Decoto. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Decoto

73% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.1/10.

On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 2.1/10. 11% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. Against the Alameda County average of 7.8, this tract reads safer for landlords by 0.9 points.

That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 5.1/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 43% of renters. Average gross rent is $2,782, close to the Union City average. Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $132,250.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001440338

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001440338?

Census tract 06001440338 in the Decoto neighborhood scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06001440338?

Median gross rent is $2,782/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 43% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001440338?

17.0% of residents in tract 06001440338 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,095.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001440338?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 46th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 33th, household 40th, minority 83th, housing 51th.
Q5

Is tract 06001440338 considered part of Decoto?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001440338 fall within Decoto (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06001440338 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.9% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 4.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06001440338 compare to Union City overall?

Tract 06001440338 scores 6.9/10, higher than the parent city of Union City at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Union City

Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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