Neighborhood · Ranked #16,032 of 84,120 nationally

Decoto Eviction Risk: Elevated , Union City

Tract 06001440200 · Alameda, CA · pop 5,641 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi

06001440200 is a census tract in the Decoto area of Union City, CA. It scores 6.4/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,641. What pushes it up most is local political climate at 8.3/10.

Risk score

6.4

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 31% Owners 51%

Tract context

Occupied units1,461

Renter share48.9%

SVI overall0.45

Poverty rate11.0%

Median income$125,129

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Union City and the region

Centroid at 37.6004, -122.0225 · click any tract to drill in

Why Decoto scores 6.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Union City

8.3

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.1

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

11.0% poverty · this tract

2.7

Supply constraint

$2,558 rent vs county FMR

4.5

Rent control risk

Inherited from Union City

5.4

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.6

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Union City

4.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Union City

5.6

How Decoto compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 45

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

31%Socioeconomic
42%Household composition
97%Racial/ethnic minority
46%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Decoto. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

20.2%Housing insecurity
9.0%Utility-shutoff threat
25.0%Food insecurity
19.5%SNAP enrollment
11.7%Transit barriers
16.8%No health insurance
17.0%Frequent mental distress
33.0%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Decoto

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 8.1/10. Against Alameda County at 45.5%, 38% of renters here are cost-burdened. It sits 1.4 points below the Alameda County average of 7.8.

The severe-burden share is 15%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 2.1/10.

Food insecurity runs 25.0% against 17.8% nationally. Nationally it ranks #16,032 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 5.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.1 points cooler. Average gross rent is $2,558, close to the Union City average.

Annual rent works out to 25% of average household income of $125,129. 49% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06001440200

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06001440200?

Census tract 06001440200 in the Decoto neighborhood scores 6.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06001440200?

Median gross rent is $2,558/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 38% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06001440200?

11.0% of residents in tract 06001440200 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,641.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06001440200?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 45th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 31th, household 42th, minority 97th, housing 46th.

Is tract 06001440200 considered part of Decoto?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06001440200 fall within Decoto (neighborhood centroid within 0.2 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06001440200 struggle to pay rent?

About 20.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06001440200 compare to Union City overall?

Tract 06001440200 scores 6.4/10, right in line with the parent city of Union City at 6.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Union City; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Union City

Top eight tracts in Union City ranked by composite eviction-risk score.