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Neighborhood · Ranked #6,330 of 84,120 nationally

Richmond Annex Eviction Risk: High , El Cerrito

Tract 06013386000 · Contra Costa, CA · pop 3,758 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

06013386000 is a census tract in the Richmond Annex area of El Cerrito, CA. It scores 8.3/10 for landlords. It is home to 3,758 residents. 28% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score
8.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 37% Stable renters 39% Owners 24%
Tract context
Occupied units1,484
Renter share75.8%
SVI overall0.74
Poverty rate19.8%
Median income$78,125

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#2 of 7 tracts In Richmond Annex
High
Within parent city
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 10 tracts In El Cerrito
Very High
Within county
80 th percentile
Rank, 80th percentileLowHigh
#48 of 241 tracts In Contra Costa
High
Within state
66 th percentile
Rank, 66th percentileLowHigh
#3,143 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across El Cerrito and the region

Centroid at 37.9227, -122.3152 · click any tract to drill in

Why Richmond Annex scores 8.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from El Cerrito
5.9
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
19.8% poverty · this tract
5.0
Supply constraint
$2,440 rent vs county FMR
4.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from El Cerrito
6.4
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.3
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from El Cerrito
8.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from El Cerrito
5.3

How Richmond Annex compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Richmond Annex risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.3This tracttract 3860006.9El Cerritoparent city6.8Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 74

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Richmond Annex. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Richmond Annex

Annualized rent equals 37% of average household income of $78,125, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 8.5/10.

76% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. It sits 1.5 points above the Contra Costa County average of 6.8.

Sitting well above the midpoint, regional political climate reads 7.3/10. The poverty rate is 20%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. On the national scale it lands near the 92nd percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 7.6/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 0.8 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Rent takes 30% or more of income for roughly one in two of renters.

Average gross rent is $2,440, close to the El Cerrito average.

Tract-level figures come from the ACS 5-year release and are rebuilt whenever that, the court-record feed, or the statutory ledger behind the score changes.

Frequently asked

About tract 06013386000

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06013386000?

Census tract 06013386000 in the Richmond Annex neighborhood scores 8.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06013386000?

Median gross rent is $2,440/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06013386000?

19.8% of residents in tract 06013386000 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,758.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06013386000?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 74th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 31th, minority 80th, housing 84th.
Q5

Is tract 06013386000 considered part of Richmond Annex?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06013386000 fall within Richmond Annex (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06013386000 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06013386000 compare to El Cerrito overall?

Tract 06013386000 scores 8.3/10, higher than the parent city of El Cerrito at 6.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from El Cerrito; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in El Cerrito

Top eight tracts in El Cerrito ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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