Census Tract · Ranked #17,650 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06029000902 · Kern, CA · pop 3,034

With a score of 6.1/10, tract 06029000902 in Bakersfield, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,034 residents. The severe-burden share is 32%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score

6.1

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 19% Owners 63%

Tract context

Occupied units1,104

Renter share36.5%

SVI overall0.80

Poverty rate15.2%

Median income$64,940

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.4050, -118.9631 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

15.2% poverty · this tract

3.8

Supply constraint

$1,154 rent vs county FMR

3.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bakersfield

5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

70%Socioeconomic
68%Household composition
78%Racial/ethnic minority
83%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.8%Housing insecurity
9.5%Utility-shutoff threat
21.3%Food insecurity
18.8%SNAP enrollment
11.4%Transit barriers
14.5%No health insurance
19.0%Frequent mental distress
34.2%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

At $1,154 a month, rents run 22% under what the rest of Bakersfield commands. That is riskier than roughly 79% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model.

Statute speed, court posture and rent-regulation exposure are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk rather than measured on these blocks; the economic and supply components are the tract-level part of the score. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 8.2/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.4 points cooler. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for roughly one in two of renters. It tracks the Kern County average of 6.4 closely. Annual rent works out to 21% of average household income of $64,940.

37% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029000902

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029000902?

Census tract 06029000902 in Bakersfield scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06029000902?

Median gross rent is $1,154/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029000902?

15.2% of residents in tract 06029000902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,034.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029000902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 68th, minority 78th, housing 83th.

What share of households in tract 06029000902 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06029000902 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029000902 scores 6.1/10, right in line with the parent city of Bakersfield at 6.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.