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Census Tract · Ranked #5,198 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06029000902 · Kern, CA · pop 3,034

How risky is Bakersfield in Kern County for landlords? Census tract 06029000902 scores 5.8/10, the Moderate tier. It lands near the 70th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 48% of renter households, a severe level, and 32% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,154 monthly, set against $64,940 in average yearly household income, roughly 21% of income at the averages. Renters make up 37% of occupied homes.

Risk score
6.9
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 18% Stable renters 19% Owners 63%
Tract context
Occupied units1,104
Renter share36.5%
SVI overall0.80
Poverty rate15.2%
Median income$64,940

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#46 of 103 tracts In Bakersfield
Elevated
Within county
48 th percentile
Rank, 48th percentileLowHigh
#124 of 236 tracts In Kern
Moderate
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2,277 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
National
94 th percentile
Rank, 94th percentileLowHigh
#5,198 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.4050, -118.9631 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 6.9

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
4.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
15.2% poverty · this tract
3.8
Supply constraint
$1,154 rent vs county FMR
3.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.0
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Bakersfield
4.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from Bakersfield
5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Bakersfield risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 6.96.9This tracttract 000902Bakersfield: 7.77.7Bakersfieldparent cityCounty: 6.76.7Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 80

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

The score leans hardest on eviction process difficulty at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Kern County average of 6.1 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 80th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 18.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 9.5% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029000902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029000902?

Census tract 06029000902 in Bakersfield scores 6.9/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06029000902?

Median gross rent is $1,154/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029000902?

15.2% of residents in tract 06029000902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,034.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029000902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 80th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 70th, household 68th, minority 78th, housing 83th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06029000902 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 9.5% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06029000902 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029000902 scores 6.9/10, lower than the parent city of Bakersfield at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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