Census Tract · Ranked #5,690 of 84,120 nationally

Bakersfield Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06029002823 · Kern, CA · pop 4,826

With a score of 6.1/10, tract 06029002823 in Bakersfield ranks in the Elevated tier for landlord eviction risk. The tract is home to 4,826 residents. On the national scale it ranks #17,671 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 53% of renter households, a severe level, and 18% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,776 a month while the average household earns $75,179 a year, roughly 28% of income at the averages. About 62% of occupied units are renter-occupied, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score

6.8

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 33% Stable renters 30% Owners 37%

Tract context

Occupied units1,715

Renter share62.3%

SVI overall0.83

Poverty rate16.0%

Median income$75,179

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Bakersfield and the region

Centroid at 35.3272, -119.0959 · click any tract to drill in

Why Bakersfield scores 6.8

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

4.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

16.0% poverty · this tract

4.0

Supply constraint

$1,776 rent vs county FMR

7.9

Rent control risk

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.0

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Bakersfield

4.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from Bakersfield

5.5

How Bakersfield compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 83

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

74%Socioeconomic
53%Household composition
72%Racial/ethnic minority
92%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

18.5%Housing insecurity
11.1%Utility-shutoff threat
22.8%Food insecurity
23.7%SNAP enrollment
12.5%Transit barriers
11.8%No health insurance
19.8%Frequent mental distress
36.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Bakersfield

What moves this score most is supply constraint at 7.9/10. That part is specific to this tract, computed from its own rent, income, and poverty figures. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Kern County average of 6.1 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 18.5% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 11.1% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 83rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06029002823

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06029002823?

Census tract 06029002823 in Bakersfield scores 6.8/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06029002823?

Median gross rent is $1,776/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 53% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06029002823?

16.0% of residents in tract 06029002823 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,826.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06029002823?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 83th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 74th, household 53th, minority 72th, housing 92th.

What share of households in tract 06029002823 struggle to pay rent?

About 18.5% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06029002823 compare to Bakersfield overall?

Tract 06029002823 scores 6.8/10, lower than the parent city of Bakersfield at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Bakersfield eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Bakersfield

Top eight tracts in Bakersfield ranked by composite eviction-risk score.