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Census Tract · Ranked #11,988 of 84,120 nationally

Arcadia Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06037430721 · Los Angeles, CA · pop 3,403

Census tract 06037430721 covers part of Arcadia, CA, and scores 7.2/10 on landlord eviction risk. It is home to 3,403 residents. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 8.3/10.

Risk score
7.2
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 24% Stable renters 24% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units1,336
Renter share47.5%
SVI overall0.89
Poverty rate11.0%
Median income$98,333

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
90 th percentile
Rank, 90th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 11 tracts In Arcadia
Very High
Within county
24 th percentile
Rank, 24th percentileLowHigh
#1,891 of 2,495 tracts In Los Angeles
Low
Within state
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#4,881 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
National
86 th percentile
Rank, 86th percentileLowHigh
#11,988 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Arcadia and the region

Centroid at 34.1378, -118.0417 · click any tract to drill in

Why Arcadia scores 7.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Arcadia
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
11.0% poverty · this tract
2.8
Supply constraint
$1,785 rent vs county FMR
1.8
Rent control risk
Inherited from Arcadia
7.8
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.6
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Arcadia
8.3
Housing court bias
Inherited from Arcadia
6.0

How Arcadia compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Arcadia risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.27.2This tracttract 430721Arcadia: 7.77.7Arcadiaparent cityCounty: 8.48.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 89

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: C: Definitely Declining

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade C meant mixed-race / working-class neighborhoods rated as risky. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Arcadia

The severe-burden share is 20%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. On the softer side, supply constraint reads 1.8/10.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 7.8/10. Against the Los Angeles County average of 8.4, this tract reads safer for landlords by 1.2 points. At $1,785 a month, rents run 19% under what the rest of Arcadia commands.

Cost burden runs 50% here against 53.8% across Los Angeles County. Inability to pay a utility bill runs 3.8% against 9.2% nationally. Utility arrears usually lead rent arrears by a month or two. In the 1930s the federal Home Owners' Loan Corporation graded this ground C ("Definitely Declining"). Redlining cut off mortgage credit to whole blocks for decades, and the areas graded D still carry measurably lower ownership and higher rent burden today.

On the national scale it lands near the 86th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 9/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06037430721

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06037430721?

Census tract 06037430721 in Arcadia scores 7.2/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06037430721?

Median gross rent is $1,785/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 50% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06037430721?

11.0% of residents in tract 06037430721 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,403.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06037430721?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 89th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 79th, household 82th, minority 82th, housing 89th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06037430721 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.8% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06037430721 compare to Arcadia overall?

Tract 06037430721 scores 7.2/10, lower than the parent city of Arcadia at 7.7/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Arcadia; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q7

Was tract 06037430721 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of C. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Arcadia

Top eight tracts in Arcadia ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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