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Neighborhood · Ranked #9,433 of 84,120 nationally

Rancho San Rafael Eviction Risk: Elevated , Glendale

Tract 06037300902 · Los Angeles, CA · pop 2,046 · neighborhood within 1.3 mi

Tract 06037300902 sits in the Rancho San Rafael area of Glendale eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 7.7/10. Population here is 2,046. At $3,501 a month, rents run 60% over what the rest of Glendale commands.

Risk score
7.7
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 7% Stable renters 8% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units748
Renter share15.0%
SVI overall0.09
Poverty rate3.6%
Median income$154,722

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Rancho San Rafael
Moderate
Within parent city
22 th percentile
Rank, 22nd percentileLowHigh
#33 of 42 tracts In Glendale
Low
Within county
32 th percentile
Rank, 32nd percentileLowHigh
#1,709 of 2,495 tracts In Los Angeles
Low
Within state
56 th percentile
Rank, 56th percentileLowHigh
#4,025 of 9,109 tracts In California
Elevated
Geographic context

Risk heat across Glendale and the region

Centroid at 34.1546, -118.2003 · click any tract to drill in

Why Rancho San Rafael scores 7.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Glendale
7.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
7.2
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
3.6% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
8.3
Rent control risk
Inherited from Glendale
9.0
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.1
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Glendale
9.7
Housing court bias
Inherited from Glendale
7.7

How Rancho San Rafael compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Rancho San Rafael risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.77.7This tracttract 300902Glendale: 9.19.1Glendaleparent cityCounty: 8.48.4Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 9

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Historical context · 1930s redlining

HOLC grade: A: Best

This tract sits within an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s. Grade A meant wealthy, predominantly white neighborhoods favored for lending. These designations suppressed minority homeownership for generations and remain a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings and rent burden.

Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), 1935-1940 HOLC residential security maps, aggregated to 2020 census tracts by area share. CC BY-NC-SA 4.0.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Rancho San Rafael. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Rancho San Rafael

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.7/10. The voucher gap is 33.4%: households holding assistance that local rents will not absorb, which surfaces as churn rather than arrears. Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 9/10.

On the softer side, economic stress reads 1/10. 21% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. SNAP participation runs 5.3% against 15.2% nationally.

Cost burden runs 48% here against 53.8% across Los Angeles County. Adults with no health insurance runs 3.6% against 11.3% nationally. It sits 0.7 points below the Los Angeles County average of 8.4.

This ground was mapped A ("Best") on the 1930s HOLC security maps for Los Angeles. That grading determined who could get a mortgage, and its imprint on tenure and rent burden is still visible in the ACS data above. On the national scale it lands near the 89th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. Only 15% of units are renter-occupied. Rental comparables are thin; price a renewal off the nearest genuine rental sub-market rather than off surrounding sale prices.

On the CDC Social Vulnerability Index the tract reads 1.8/10, which tracks how hard a shock lands on the households already here. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the least pressured.

Poverty sits at 4%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06037300902

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06037300902?

Census tract 06037300902 in the Rancho San Rafael neighborhood scores 7.7/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06037300902?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 48% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06037300902?

3.6% of residents in tract 06037300902 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,046.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06037300902?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 9th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 20th, household 41th, minority 45th, housing 2th.
Q5

Is tract 06037300902 considered part of Rancho San Rafael?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06037300902 fall within Rancho San Rafael (neighborhood centroid within 1.3 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06037300902 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 2.9% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06037300902 compare to Glendale overall?

Tract 06037300902 scores 7.7/10, lower than the parent city of Glendale at 9.1/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Glendale eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Q8

Was tract 06037300902 historically redlined?

Yes. This tract sits inside an area graded by the Home Owners' Loan Corporation in the 1930s, with a dominant grade of A. 0% of the tract's area was rated D ("Hazardous"), the redlined tier. HOLC redlining systematically denied mortgage credit to Black, immigrant, and working-class neighborhoods and remains a documented predictor of present-day eviction filings, rent burden, and homeownership gaps. Source: Mapping Inequality (americanpanorama.org), Robert K. Nelson et al.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Glendale

Top eight tracts in Glendale ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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