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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,797 of 84,120 nationally

Terra Linda Eviction Risk: High , San Rafael

Tract 06041108202 · Marin, CA · pop 4,777 · neighborhood within 0.9 mi

06041108202 is a census tract in the Terra Linda area of San Rafael, CA. It scores 9.1/10 for landlords. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9/10.

Risk score
9.1
High
Confidence 85% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 20% Stable renters 25% Owners 55%
Tract context
Occupied units1,877
Renter share44.7%
SVI overall0.70
Poverty rate13.5%
Median income$94,592

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 3 tracts In Terra Linda
Very High
Within parent city
69 th percentile
Rank, 69th percentileLowHigh
#5 of 14 tracts In San Rafael
Elevated
Within county
93 th percentile
Rank, 93rd percentileLowHigh
#5 of 62 tracts In Marin
Very High
Within state
82 th percentile
Rank, 82nd percentileLowHigh
#1,681 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Rafael and the region

Centroid at 37.9991, -122.5498 · click any tract to drill in

Why Terra Linda scores 9.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Rafael
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
13.5% poverty · this tract
3.4
Supply constraint
tract rent vs county FMR
5.0
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Rafael
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Rafael
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Rafael
6.9

How Terra Linda compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Terra Linda risk score vs. parent city / county / state9.1This tracttract 1082027.9San Rafaelparent city7.3Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 70

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Terra Linda. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Terra Linda

On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.1/10. It sits 1.8 points above the Marin County average of 7.3. Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10.

17% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears. 45% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, lower than the Marin County average of 51.0%.

Nationally it ranks #3,797 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 7.3/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.6 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. 45% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06041108202

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06041108202?

Census tract 06041108202 in the Terra Linda neighborhood scores 9.1/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the poverty rate in tract 06041108202?

13.5% of residents in tract 06041108202 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 4,777.
Q3

How socially vulnerable is tract 06041108202?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 70th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 38th, household 73th, minority 52th, housing 92th.
Q4

Is tract 06041108202 considered part of Terra Linda?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06041108202 fall within Terra Linda (neighborhood centroid within 0.9 miles, OSM data).
Q5

What share of households in tract 06041108202 struggle to pay rent?

About 9.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 5.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06041108202 compare to San Rafael overall?

Tract 06041108202 scores 9.1/10, higher than the parent city of San Rafael at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Rafael; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Rafael

Top eight tracts in San Rafael ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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