Census Tract · Ranked #3,529 of 84,120 nationally

San Rafael Eviction Risk: High

Tract 06041106001 · Marin, CA · pop 5,466 · 81% of tract blocks fall in San Rafael

06041106001 is a census tract in San Rafael, CA. It scores 9.2/10 for landlords. Population here is 5,466. 34% are severely burdened past the 50% mark. That cohort absorbs no shock: one repair bill or one cut shift converts straight into arrears.

Risk score

9.2

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 31% Stable renters 29% Owners 40%

Tract context

Occupied units2,092

Renter share60.4%

SVI overall0.79

Poverty rate12.3%

Median income$87,917

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across San Rafael and the region

Centroid at 38.0301, -122.5177 · click any tract to drill in

Why San Rafael scores 9.2

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from San Rafael

8.5

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

8.3

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

12.3% poverty · this tract

3.1

Supply constraint

$3,389 rent vs county FMR

5.2

Rent control risk

Inherited from San Rafael

8.3

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from San Rafael

9.0

Housing court bias

Inherited from San Rafael

6.9

How San Rafael compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 79

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

51%Socioeconomic
46%Household composition
63%Racial/ethnic minority
99%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

12.2%Housing insecurity
6.1%Utility-shutoff threat
14.4%Food insecurity
12.7%SNAP enrollment
7.9%Transit barriers
9.6%No health insurance
16.5%Frequent mental distress
32.1%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in San Rafael

Average gross rent is $3,389, 43% above the San Rafael average. Set annual rent against average income of $87,917 and the ratio lands at 46%, above the conventional 30% ceiling. The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9/10.

Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.1/10. Against the Marin County average of 7.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.9 points.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. Nationally it ranks #3,529 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. Social vulnerability reads 8.1/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.7 points hotter. Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured.

Rent takes 30% or more of income for 51% of renters. 60% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06041106001

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06041106001?

Census tract 06041106001 in San Rafael scores 9.2/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06041106001?

Median gross rent is $3,389/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 51% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06041106001?

12.3% of residents in tract 06041106001 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,466.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06041106001?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 79th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 51th, household 46th, minority 63th, housing 99th.

What share of households in tract 06041106001 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.2% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06041106001 compare to San Rafael overall?

Tract 06041106001 scores 9.2/10, higher than the parent city of San Rafael at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Rafael; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Rafael

Top eight tracts in San Rafael ranked by composite eviction-risk score.