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Neighborhood · Ranked #4,888 of 84,120 nationally

Terra Linda Eviction Risk: High , San Rafael

Tract 06041108201 · Marin, CA · pop 2,365 · neighborhood within 1.0 mi

With a score of 8.7/10, tract 06041108201 in the Terra Linda area of San Rafael, CA reads high for landlord eviction risk. Population here is 2,365. Severe burden reaches 48%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.

Risk score
8.7
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 40% Stable renters 29% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units1,043
Renter share69.1%
SVI overall0.95
Poverty rate10.1%
Median income$93,295

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 3 tracts In Terra Linda
Moderate
Within parent city
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#8 of 14 tracts In San Rafael
Moderate
Within county
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#11 of 62 tracts In Marin
High
Within state
75 th percentile
Rank, 75th percentileLowHigh
#2,258 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Rafael and the region

Centroid at 37.9972, -122.5387 · click any tract to drill in

Why Terra Linda scores 8.7

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Rafael
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
10.1% poverty · this tract
2.5
Supply constraint
$2,217 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Rafael
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Rafael
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Rafael
6.9

How Terra Linda compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Terra Linda risk score vs. parent city / county / state8.7This tracttract 1082017.9San Rafaelparent city7.3Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 95

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Terra Linda. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Terra Linda

What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9/10. Well under the midpoint, court filing pressure reads 1.1/10. 69% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby.

Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. It sits 1.4 points above the Marin County average of 7.3. 58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Marin County average of 51.0%.

Nationally it ranks #4,888 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 9.5/10. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.2 points hotter.

Of its three components the housing type and transport measure is the most pressured. Average gross rent is $2,217, close to the San Rafael average. Annual rent works out to 29% of average household income of $93,295.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06041108201

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06041108201?

Census tract 06041108201 in the Terra Linda neighborhood scores 8.7/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06041108201?

Median gross rent is $2,217/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06041108201?

10.1% of residents in tract 06041108201 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,365.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06041108201?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 95th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 86th, household 92th, minority 71th, housing 93th.
Q5

Is tract 06041108201 considered part of Terra Linda?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06041108201 fall within Terra Linda (neighborhood centroid within 1.0 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06041108201 struggle to pay rent?

About 12.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 6.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06041108201 compare to San Rafael overall?

Tract 06041108201 scores 8.7/10, higher than the parent city of San Rafael at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Rafael; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Rafael

Top eight tracts in San Rafael ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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