Canal Eviction Risk: High , San Rafael
Tract 06041112203 · Marin, CA · pop 2,498 · neighborhood within 0.2 mi
Tract 06041112203 sits in the Canal area of San Rafael, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.3/10. It is home to 2,498 residents. Severe burden reaches 40%. Those are renters paying half their income or more, and that is where non-payment filings originate.
Percentile rank
Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.Risk heat across San Rafael and the region
Centroid at 37.9647, -122.5036 · click any tract to drill in
Why Canal scores 9.3
9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendlyHow Canal compares
Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.SVI percentile: 82
CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.
- 79%Socioeconomic
- 76%Household composition
- 98%Racial/ethnic minority
- 61%Housing & transportation
Census tracts with similar eviction risk
Within Canal. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.
Eviction-adjacent indicators
Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.
- 38.6%Housing insecurity
- 19.6%Utility-shutoff threat
- 48.9%Food insecurity
- 44.8%SNAP enrollment
- 24.0%Transit barriers
- 35.6%No health insurance
- 23.1%Frequent mental distress
- 44.8%Any disability
What drives eviction risk in Canal
Cost burden runs 78% here against 51.0% across Marin County. Food insecurity runs 48.9% against 17.8% nationally.
Housing insecurity runs 38.6% against 14.2% nationally. 96% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Annualized rent equals 42% of average household income of $66,080, past the 30% affordability line, which thins the margin any screening standard has to work with.
The score leans hardest on tenant-organizing strength at 9/10. On the softer side, court filing pressure reads 1.1/10. Against the Marin County average of 7.3, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.0 points.
Sitting well above the midpoint, local political climate reads 8.5/10. The poverty rate is 23%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest.
That is riskier than roughly 96% of the 84,120 US census tracts in this model. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 8.4/10.
Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter.
All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.
About tract 06041112203
What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06041112203?
What is the average rent in tract 06041112203?
What is the poverty rate in tract 06041112203?
How socially vulnerable is tract 06041112203?
Is tract 06041112203 considered part of Canal?
What share of households in tract 06041112203 struggle to pay rent?
How does tract 06041112203 compare to San Rafael overall?
Highest-risk tracts in San Rafael
Top eight tracts in San Rafael ranked by composite eviction-risk score.