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Neighborhood · Ranked #35,899 of 84,120 nationally

Terra Linda Eviction Risk: Moderate , San Rafael

Tract 06041108100 · Marin, CA · pop 6,701 · neighborhood within 1.1 mi

Here is how census tract 06041108100, in the Terra Linda area of San Rafael, looks to a landlord: a 5.1/10 eviction-risk score (Moderate tier) across a population of 6,701. It lands near the 44th percentile nationally for landlord eviction risk.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 28% of renter households, a moderate level, and 25% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $3,501 a month while the average household earns $146,924 a year, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 16% of occupied homes.

Risk score
4.3
Moderate
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 4% Stable renters 11% Owners 85%
Tract context
Occupied units2,543
Renter share15.7%
SVI overall0.25
Poverty rate2.9%
Median income$146,924

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#3 of 3 tracts In Terra Linda
Very Low
Within parent city
8 th percentile
Rank, 8th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 14 tracts In San Rafael
Very Low
Within county
57 th percentile
Rank, 57th percentileLowHigh
#27 of 62 tracts In Marin
Elevated
Within state
27 th percentile
Rank, 27th percentileLowHigh
#6,632 of 9,109 tracts In California
Low
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Rafael and the region

Centroid at 38.0177, -122.5617 · click any tract to drill in

Why Terra Linda scores 4.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from San Rafael
8.5
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
8.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
2.9% poverty · this tract
1.0
Supply constraint
$3,501 rent vs county FMR
5.6
Rent control risk
Inherited from San Rafael
8.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from San Rafael
9.0
Housing court bias
Inherited from San Rafael
6.9

How Terra Linda compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Terra Linda risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 4.34.3This tracttract 108100San Rafael: 8.38.3San Rafaelparent cityCounty: 4.24.2Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 25

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Terra Linda. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Terra Linda

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at $1/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from San Rafael, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores below the Marin County average of 5.4 and below the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the safer side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 6.8% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 3.7% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is predominantly White and ranks around the 25th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a relatively low-vulnerability reading.

For a landlord, conditions here are middle-of-the-road. Standard screening and prompt, documented notices usually keep cases short.

Frequently asked

About tract 06041108100

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06041108100?

Census tract 06041108100 in the Terra Linda neighborhood scores 4.3/10 (Moderate tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06041108100?

Median gross rent is $3,501/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 28% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06041108100?

2.9% of residents in tract 06041108100 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 6,701.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06041108100?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 25th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 19th, household 57th, minority 36th, housing 25th.
Q5

Is tract 06041108100 considered part of Terra Linda?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06041108100 fall within Terra Linda (neighborhood centroid within 1.1 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06041108100 struggle to pay rent?

About 6.8% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 3.7% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06041108100 compare to San Rafael overall?

Tract 06041108100 scores 4.3/10, lower than the parent city of San Rafael at 8.3/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from San Rafael; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in San Rafael

Top eight tracts in San Rafael ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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