Marin County, California Eviction Risk: High
30 incorporated cities and unincorporated areas. The county Eviction Risk Score is held aloft by the city of San Rafael (8.8) and a small number of dense urban cores. Rent-control coverage varies by city.
Ranked #15 of 58 CA counties
239k residents · 30 cities · 62 tracts
Marin County eviction risk score history
Key metrics
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Tenant beats landlord51.5%/ 100 outcomesIn court-decided eviction outcomes for Marin County, CA, tenants prevail in roughly 51.5% of contested cases. A higher number means landlords face stronger tenant defenses and longer calendars.
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Timeline274dfiling → judgmentFrom the moment an unlawful-detainer notice is filed in Marin County, CA until a money judgment is entered, a contested eviction takes about 274 days on average. Longer timelines mean more lost rent for landlords.
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Cost range$15.3–34.9klegal + lost rentA typical eviction in Marin County, CA costs landlords $15,305 to $34,856 all-in, covering court filing fees, process-server costs, attorney time, and lost rent.
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Average rent$2,76533% stretched on rentAverage gross rent in Marin County, CA is $2,765 per month per the U.S. Census American Community Survey. 33% of renter households here spend more than 30% of pre-tax income on rent.
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Renters35.2%of households35.2% of occupied housing units in Marin County, CA are renter-occupied. A higher renter share usually correlates with more eviction filings and a more active rental market.
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Poverty8.4%6.0% unemp.8.4% of Marin County, CA residents live below the federal poverty line, and unemployment runs at 6.0%. Both feed the economic-stress sub-score in our Eviction Risk Score model.
Scrub 50 years
Marin County averages 8.2/10 across its 30 cities, which span 7.6 to 8.8, with Sonoma State University the highest-risk city at 8.8/10. Marin County ranks 52nd of 58 California counties for eviction risk.
How Marin County ranks in California
Landlord guides for California
| City↕ | Population↕ | Risk↕ | % income on rent↕ | Average rent↕ | Lean↕ | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 001 | San Rafael | 60,433 | 8.3 | 36.0% | $2,377 | Dem |
| 002 | Novato | 52,546 | 8.2 | 35.8% | $2,506 | Dem |
| 003 | Mill Valley | 14,012 | 8.2 | 27.4% | $3,278 | Dem |
| 004 | Larkspur | 12,854 | 8.0 | 34.9% | $3,001 | Dem |
| 005 | San Anselmo | 12,679 | 8.2 | 36.7% | $2,797 | Dem |
| 006 | Tamalpais-Homestead Valley | 12,085 | 7.9 | 25.1% | $3,501 | Dem |
| 007 | Corte Madera | 10,077 | 8.0 | 26.9% | $3,501 | Dem |
| 008 | Tiburon | 9,012 | 8.3 | 24.7% | $3,501 | Dem |
| 009 | Fairfax | 7,516 | 7.9 | 40.3% | $2,367 | Dem |
| 010 | Sausalito | 7,141 | 8.2 | 25.5% | $3,501 | Dem |
| 011 | Kentfield | 6,900 | 8.1 | 28.9% | $2,741 | Dem |
| 012 | Lucas Valley-Marinwood | 6,473 | 7.9 | 31.2% | $3,501 | Dem |
| 013 | Santa Venetia | 3,725 | 8.2 | 29.1% | $3,255 | Dem |
| 014 | Marin City | 3,195 | 7.9 | 31.7% | $1,335 | Dem |
| 015 | Sleepy Hollow | 3,063 | 8.1 | 33.6% | $2,483 | Dem |
| 016 | Ross | 2,606 | 7.8 | 22.4% | $3,501 | Dem |
| 017 | Belvedere | 2,345 | 7.8 | 50.0% | $3,501 | Dem |
| 018 | Sonoma State University | 2,210 | 8.8 | 33.6% | $2,483 | Dem |
| 019 | Black Point-Green Point | 1,655 | 8.0 | 27.9% | $3,131 | Dem |
| 020 | Woodacre | 1,627 | 8.0 | 51.7% | $3,032 | Dem |
| 021 | Lagunitas-Forest Knolls | 1,626 | 7.9 | 30.3% | $2,387 | Dem |
| 022 | Inverness | 1,346 | 8.6 | 51.0% | $1,829 | Dem |
| 023 | Bolinas | 1,334 | 7.9 | 37.1% | $1,924 | Dem |
| 024 | Alto | 1,024 | 8.0 | 26.5% | $2,483 | Dem |
| 025 | San Geronimo | 583 | 7.6 | 33.6% | $2,483 | Dem |
| 026 | Point Reyes Station | 517 | 7.8 | 38.3% | $1,898 | Dem |
| 027 | Muir Beach | 311 | 8.6 | 37.7% | $3,501 | Dem |
| 028 | Stinson Beach | 255 | 7.6 | 33.6% | $2,483 | Dem |
| 029 | Tomales | 168 | 7.9 | 33.6% | $2,483 | Dem |
| 030 | Nicasio | 91 | 8.1 | 33.6% | $2,483 | Dem |
County heatmap
Neighborhoods in Marin County
Top 6 neighborhoods by population. Click for a pop-weighted risk score and the constituent census tracts.
One county, multiple regulatory regimes.
Marin County scores 8.2/10 (High) across its 30 cities, placing it among the more manageable markets in California for landlords and investors. With 51 of the state's 58 counties carrying higher risk scores, Marin sits in the lower-risk third of California, a meaningful distinction when sizing up operating conditions. Average rents run $2,765 per month against a rent burden of 33.4%, and the county's renter share of 35.2% reflects a market that is predominantly owner-occupied, which tends to reduce volatility in the rental pool. On balance, the fundamentals here are tighter and more investor-stable than most of the Bay Area.
That said, the county average obscures meaningful pockets of elevated risk. Scores across the 30 cities range from 7.6 to 8.8, a spread wide enough that two properties a few miles apart can carry very different operating profiles. Landlords who treat Marin as a single uniform market are making a significant underwriting error.
The cities inside Marin County
The standout risk outlier is Fairfax, which scores 7.9/10, the highest in the county by a wide margin and roughly double the county average. That gap is not a rounding artifact; it reflects materially different local conditions, and any landlord evaluating a Fairfax property should model for a significantly more tenant-protective operating environment than the county headline implies. Alto and Point Reyes Station each score 7.8/10, and Lagunitas-Forest Knolls comes in at 7.9/10, all still above the county average and worth individual due diligence.
At the lower end of the risk range, Mill Valley (population 14,012), Corte Madera (population 10,077), and Tiburon (population 9,012) each score 8.3/10, the most landlord-favorable reading in the county. San Rafael, the largest city at 60,433 residents, and Novato, the second-largest at 52,546, sit at 8.2/10 and 5.0/10 respectively, just at or below the county average. The practical takeaway is that risk is hyper-local here; city-level scores should drive deal underwriting, not the county composite.
State-level laws that apply here
Every landlord operating in Marin County operates under California state law, which layers several protections on top of any local rules. Under California eviction process rules, notice periods begin at three days for non-payment of rent (CCP § 1161(2)) and curable or incurable lease violations (CCP §§ 1161(3) and 1161(4)). No-cause terminations require 30 days for tenancies under one year and 60 days for tenancies of one year or more (Civ. Code § 1946.1); just-cause no-fault terminations such as owner move-in or substantial remodel also require 60 days (Civ. Code § 1946.2). Once a case reaches the courthouse, an uncontested unlawful detainer runs 35 to 60 days; a contested case can extend to 75 to 180 days. Court filing fees range from $240 to $435, sheriff lockout fees from $75 to $145, and attorney fees typically run $1,500 to $4,500, so even an uncontested removal carries real cost.
On rent and just-cause, AB 1482 (Cal. Civ. Code § 1947.12) caps annual increases at 5% plus CPI, maximum 10%, and requires just cause to terminate most tenancies under CA Civil Code § 1946.2. The Costa-Hawkins Act (CC § 1954.50) limits but does not preempt local rent control on pre-1995 multi-unit buildings, so individual cities within Marin may carry additional rent-control layers. A full breakdown of California security deposit limits and screening fee caps, including the annually adjusted application fee ceiling, is covered in the California tenant protections and California eviction costs guides. Landlords should verify local overlays city by city before finalizing lease terms or exit strategies.
With a poverty rate of 8.4% and renters making up 35.2% of county households, Marin County's risk exposure is concentrated in specific cities rather than spread evenly across the market; the city grid above shows where that concentration actually sits.
Historical eviction filings in Marin County
From 2010 to 2017, eviction filings in Marin County declined 48%. The peak was 673 filings in 2010.1
- 6732010
- 673Peak (2010)
- 3472017
Data covers 2000–2018, the full span of the Princeton Eviction Lab's national county court-records dataset.
How Marin County compares
Within California, Marin County's 8.2/10 eviction-risk score ranks 52nd of 58 counties, among the lower-risk tier in the state. It runs slightly above Sonoma County at 5.05/10 and just under San Luis Obispo County at 5.33/10, Napa County at 5.38/10, and San Mateo County at 5.38/10.
Santa Cruz County is the highest-scoring of these peers at 5.47/10, putting Marin County in the middle of this Bay Area and Central Coast cohort despite its statewide rank near the bottom on risk.