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Census Tract · Ranked #3,427 of 84,120 nationally

Merced Eviction Risk: Elevated

Tract 06047001603 · Merced, CA · pop 3,965 · 80% of tract blocks fall in Merced

Landlord eviction risk in census tract 06047001603 (Merced, California) comes in at 6.4/10, the Elevated tier. On the national scale it ranks #11,936 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 56% of renter households, a severe level, and 19% are severely burdened at 50% or more. Average gross rent is $1,417 monthly, set against $57,991 in average yearly household income, roughly 29% of income at the averages. Renters make up 69% of occupied homes, a renter-majority tract.

Risk score
7.4
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 39% Stable renters 30% Owners 31%
Tract context
Occupied units851
Renter share68.7%
SVI overall0.93
Poverty rate18.2%
Median income$57,991

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within parent city
46 th percentile
Rank, 46th percentileLowHigh
#13 of 23 tracts In Merced
Moderate
Within county
68 th percentile
Rank, 68th percentileLowHigh
#21 of 63 tracts In Merced
Elevated
Within state
83 th percentile
Rank, 83rd percentileLowHigh
#1,573 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
National
96 th percentile
Rank, 96th percentileLowHigh
#3,427 of 84,120 tracts In U.S.
Very High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Merced and the region

Centroid at 37.2809, -120.4968 · click any tract to drill in

Why Merced scores 7.4

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Merced
6.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
5.5
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
18.2% poverty · this tract
4.6
Supply constraint
$1,417 rent vs county FMR
4.4
Rent control risk
Inherited from Merced
7.3
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
6.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Merced
9.4
Housing court bias
Inherited from Merced
7.8

How Merced compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Merced risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 7.47.4This tracttract 001603Merced: 8.68.6Mercedparent cityCounty: 6.96.9Countyavg tract in countyState: 5.65.6Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 93

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Merced

What moves this score most is tenant organizing strength at 9.4/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Merced, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores above the Merced County average of 6.0 and above the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

The tract is predominantly Hispanic or Latino and ranks around the 93rd percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. High vulnerability tends to track with higher eviction-filing rates when rents climb.

In CDC survey modeling, about 33.0% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 17.3% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06047001603

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06047001603?

Census tract 06047001603 in Merced scores 7.4/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06047001603?

Median gross rent is $1,417/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 56% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06047001603?

18.2% of residents in tract 06047001603 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,965.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06047001603?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 93th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 100th, household 87th, minority 95th, housing 50th.
Q5

What share of households in tract 06047001603 struggle to pay rent?

About 33.0% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 17.3% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q6

How does tract 06047001603 compare to Merced overall?

Tract 06047001603 scores 7.4/10, lower than the parent city of Merced at 8.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Merced; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Merced

Top eight tracts in Merced ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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