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San Ardo, California eviction risk overview
City brief · 462 residents

San Ardo, CA Eviction Risk: VERY HIGH

Monterey County · Population 462

In 2026
Risk score
8.6
VERY HIGH

98th percentile, California.

50-yr Eviction Risk Score history

1976 to 2026 · climbing fast since 2010

Min5.8 Average6.9 Now8.6
9.4 5.8 1976 · score 5.8 1977 · score 5.9 1978 · score 5.9 1979 · score 6.1 1980 · score 6.1 1981 · score 6.1 1982 · score 6.1 1983 · score 6.2 1984 · score 6.2 1985 · score 6.2 1986 · score 6.2 1987 · score 6.1 1988 · score 6.4 1989 · score 6.5 1990 · score 6.5 1991 · score 6.6 1992 · score 6.6 1993 · score 6.5 1994 · score 6.5 1995 · score 6.4 1996 · score 6.5 1997 · score 6.6 1998 · score 6.5 1999 · score 6.6 2000 · score 6.5 2001 · score 6.6 2002 · score 6.5 2003 · score 6.5 2004 · score 6.4 2005 · score 6.5 2006 · score 6.6 2007 · score 6.8 2008 · score 6.8 2009 · score 7.0 2010 · score 6.9 2011 · score 6.9 2012 · score 6.8 2013 · score 7.0 2014 · score 7.0 2015 · score 7.0 2016 · score 7.2 2017 · score 7.3 2018 · score 7.4 2019 · score 7.9 2020 · score 9.1 2021 · score 9.4 2022 · score 9.2 2023 · score 8.4 2024 · score 8.5 2025 · score 8.8 2026 · score 8.6

Key metrics

Time machine

Scrub 50 years

2026
● LIVE · today ◀ REPLAY · historical

Nine-axis profile

9-axis profile · today

Shape of the risk surface

1 landlord · 10 tenant
Local 7.4 Regional 7.4 State 6.8 Economic 9.7 Supply 7.7 Rent Control 9.6 Eviction 6.7 Tenant 7.8 Housing 9.6 8.6 VERY HIGH
Sub-scores · with sparkline

Where the score comes from

1 → 10 scale
  1. Local political climate
    Dem margin +29.9% (2024)
    7.4
  2. Regional political climate
    County-weighted neighbor mix
    7.4
  3. State political climate
    California legislature & governorship
    6.8
  4. Economic stress
    40.1% poverty · 27.2% unemp.
    9.7
  5. Supply constraint
    $1,225 average · 52.3% renters
    7.7
  6. Rent Control risk
    50%+ of income on rent
    9.6
  7. Eviction process difficulty
    267 days filing → judgment
    6.7
  8. Tenant organizing strength
    52.3% renters
    7.8
  9. Housing court bias
    County bench composition
    9.6
Geographic context

Risk heat across San Ardo and the region

Click any city to see its score

How San Ardo compares

Risk score vs. peers, county, state, and the U.S.
Rank in Monterey County
Very High
#2 of 25 cities
Rank in county, 96th percentileLowHigh
#2 of 25 cities in Monterey County for landlord eviction risk.
Rank in California
Very High
#43 of 1,594 cities
Rank in state, 97th percentileLowHigh
#43 of 1,594 cities in California for landlord eviction risk.
vs. county · state · U.S.
San Ardo risk score vs. county / state / U.S.San Ardo: 8.68.6San ArdoThis cityCounty: 7.57.5Countyavg in countyState: 7.67.6Stateavg in stateU.S.: 5.15.1U.S.national avg

California landlord-tenant law

Eviction rules are set at the state level. These are the California statutes, timelines and dollar figures that govern every property on this page.

Score story

Six-stop tour of the risk profile

  1. 8.6
    / 10 · VERY HIGH
    The verdict

    A Very high-tier market.

    Composite 8.6/10. Among the 10% riskiest markets nationally, with heavy tenant exposure, so every notice, hearing, and lease termination needs an attorney in the loop. The 50-year curve shows a sharp climb.

    50-yr trend+2.8 over 50 yr
    197620012026

    Steepening since 2010 · COVID inflection visible

  2. 267d
    Typical timeline
    The money

    What renting (and evicting) looks like.

    Rent published at $1,225/mo. A contested eviction takes 267 days and costs $16,739–$30,231 per case.

    50-yr trendCalendar drag rising since '15
    197620012026
  3. 52.3%
    Renters
    The renters

    Who you'll be renting to.

    Out of 462 residents, 52.3% rent. 50%+ are spending 30%+ income on rent, 40.1% below the poverty line.

    50-yr trendRenter share rising
    197620012026
  4. 7.4
    Local + regional
    The politics

    Mid-range climate. Not a coastal market.

    Local & regional political climate score 7.4 and 7.4 (Dem margin +29.9% (2024)). State climate at 6.8, a mid-range statehouse.

    50-yr trendTracks county vote margin
    197620012026

    Built on 50-yr presidential margins back to 1976.

  5. 6.8
    State politics
    The process

    Long calendar, heavy friction.

    State political climate 6.8/10 sets the legislative ceiling for landlord remedies, and it shows up in the process. Eviction process difficulty reads 6.7, housing court bias 9.6, rent-control risk 9.6. The slow part is the calendar, not the motion practice.

    50-yr trendProcess difficulty +1.7 since '00
    197620012026
  6. 9.7
    Economic stress
    The stress

    Economic pressure is the real risk.

    Economic stress: 9.7. Supply constraint: 7.7. The numbers behind those: 40.1% poverty, 27.2% unemployment, 51% of income on rent.

    50-yr trendTwo visible dips · '08 + COVID
    197620012026

    Mirrors BLS unemployment series.

US eviction landscape · timeline × all-in cost

San Ardo sits in the slow & expensive quadrant

Bubble size = population · color = risk score
QUICK BUT COSTLY fast docket · high all-in loss SLOW & EXPENSIVE long calendar · high all-in loss QUICK & CHEAP fast docket · low all-in loss SLOW BUT CHEAP long calendar · low all-in loss 30d 50d 75d 100d 150d 200d 300d 450d $2.0k $3.0k $5.0k $7.5k $10k $15k $20k $30k EVICTION TIMELINE (DAYS) → ↑ ALL-IN COST (LOG SCALE) Los Angeles, CA · 273d · ~$22.4k all-in ($82/day) · score 9.8 Los Angeles San Diego, CA · 277d · ~$25.9k all-in ($94/day) · score 8.6 San Diego San Jose, CA · 261d · ~$24.2k all-in ($93/day) · score 9 San Jose San Francisco, CA · 273d · ~$23.9k all-in ($88/day) · score 9.9 San Francisco Fresno, CA · 279d · ~$24.4k all-in ($88/day) · score 7 Fresno Sacramento, CA · 281d · ~$25.0k all-in ($89/day) · score 7.9 Sacramento Long Beach, CA · 291d · ~$26.4k all-in ($91/day) · score 9.1 Long Beach Oakland, CA · 282d · ~$24.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 9.6 Oakland Bakersfield, CA · 249d · ~$25.6k all-in ($103/day) · score 6.1 Bakersfield Anaheim, CA · 258d · ~$23.3k all-in ($90/day) · score 7.1 Anaheim Houston, TX · 24d · ~$2.5k all-in ($103/day) · score 3.7 Houston Phoenix, AZ · 38d · ~$3.3k all-in ($86/day) · score 3.6 Phoenix Memphis, TN · 31d · ~$2.0k all-in ($66/day) · score 4 Memphis Atlanta, GA · 40d · ~$2.8k all-in ($69/day) · score 4.3 Atlanta Boston, MA · 187d · ~$20.3k all-in ($109/day) · score 8.1 Boston Chicago, IL · 109d · ~$9.0k all-in ($82/day) · score 6.7 Chicago New York, NY · 417d · ~$29.5k all-in ($71/day) · score 9.6 New York Seattle, WA · 162d · ~$12.7k all-in ($79/day) · score 7.9 Seattle San Ardo
San Ardo · 267d · ~$23.5k all-in ($88/day) · score 8.6 National average: 58d · $4.6k all-in Hover any bubble for stats · click to open Color: 0–4   4–7   7–10
00Overview

About eviction risk in San Ardo, CA

Landlording in San Ardo, California, presents one of the toughest environments for property owners in the nation. The Eviction Risk Score is 8.6/10 (VERY HIGH tier), drawn from the nine sub-axes shown above, covering rent-control exposure, eviction-process difficulty, housing-court bias, tenant-organizing strength, supply constraint, economic stress, and local, regional, and state political climate. This is not a quick-fix market: it's a Among the toughest 10% of US markets where lease drafting, screening discipline, and well-documented notices materially change outcomes.

San Ardo is a city of 462 residents where 52.3% of occupied units are renter-occupied, and the typical renter spends 51.0% of income on rent. At an average rent of $1,225/month, the typical renter household here spends more than the federal 30% threshold on housing, a leading indicator of payment volatility and a precondition for the kinds of tenant defenses that show up most often in housing court.

01Process

How San Ardo eviction process actually works

Eviction process difficulty here reads 6.7/10, a number that combines statutory complexity (notice categories, just-cause rules, mandatory pre-filing disclosures) with operational realities (court calendar length and clerk responsiveness). The typical contested filing in San Ardo closes 267 days after the initial notice. For non-payment of rent the first step is a properly-formatted, properly-served pay-or-quit notice; for material lease breaches it's a cure-or-quit; for tenancies under just-cause protection an at-fault grounds notice (or a no-fault notice with statutory relocation assistance) is required.

The slow part of San Ardo's timeline is usually the calendar, not the motion practice. Housing court bias scores 9.6/10 here, meaning judges read borderline procedural defects in the tenant's favor more often than the national norm. The practical implication: every notice and every proof of service needs to be airtight before it gets filed.

02Cost

What it costs (and how long it takes)

An all-in eviction in San Ardo runs $16,739 to $30,231 per case once you account for filing fees, attorney time, lost rent during pendency, sheriff lockout, and unit turnover. That range is wide because the upper bound assumes a tenant answer plus motion practice, common when housing court bias is high. The lower bound assumes a default judgment after proper service.

For landlords running the numbers on holding costs vs. cash-for-keys: if your projected timeline times your monthly rent already exceeds the high-end cost number, cash-for-keys at 1–2 months' rent is typically the economically rational choice. With 267 days of typical timeline and $1,225/month in lost rent, that crossover happens fast here.

03Operations

Security deposits, screening, and lease terms

Tenant organizing strength scores 7.8/10 in San Ardo, and the city sits at the top of the rent control risk spectrum (9.6/10). Operations practice that survives audit in this environment looks like:

  • Screening discipline. Document income (verified at 2.5 to 3x rent), credit (with a clear minimum), and prior-tenancy reference checks, but do not screen on protected categories or source-of-income where banned. Keep a written, consistent screening criteria document for every applicant.
  • Lease specificity. Use a state-specific lease that names every term clearly: rent due date, late fees within statutory caps, deposit handling, smoke and CO disclosure, lead paint disclosure (pre-1978 stock), and a clean attorney's-fees clause.
  • Security deposit handling. Itemize deductions within the statutory window. Photograph move-in/move-out condition. In California, deposit cap and refund window are statute, so exceed them at your own risk.
  • Mid-tenancy documentation. Keep date-stamped records of every rent receipt, every habitability request, every notice served. The day you need them in court is too late to start.
04Strategy

What an everyday landlord should actually do here

If you own one to four units in San Ardo: hire a property manager who knows the local court. The pricing differential between self-managing and hiring out is small relative to the cost of one botched eviction in a VERY HIGH tier market. If you own five or more: build relationships with a local landlord-side attorney before you need one, since retainer fees are negligible compared to emergency-rate billing when an eviction is already moving.

The avoidable mistakes here are all upstream of the filing: weak screening, an informal lease, sloppy rent receipts, and notice templates pulled off the internet that don't match California's statutory language. Fix those four, and most cases settle or default. Skip them, and a $30,231 all-in fight is the realistic worst case.

04bPractical traps

Local traps to avoid in San Ardo

Trap · PRACTICAL TRAP
For landlords, the 8.6/10 score is most actionable when combined with Monterey County's specific court behavior. Housing-court bias sub-score: 9.6/10. Use proactive screening and documented notices.
05FAQ

Frequently asked questions

Q1

What is "just cause" eviction in San Ardo?

Just cause means you need a legally recognized reason to evict a tenant in California, even if their lease is ending. This can be "at-fault" (e.g., non-payment, lease violation) or "no-fault" (e.g., owner move-in, substantial renovations, requiring relocation assistance). You cannot simply ask a tenant to leave because you want to sell the property without following specific no-fault just cause rules.

Q2

Can I raise the rent in San Ardo?

Yes, but California has statewide rent control. Annual rent increases are capped at 5% plus the percentage change in the cost of living index (CPI), or 10%, whichever is lower. This applies to most properties built after 1995. Always provide proper notice for rent increases, typically 30 or 60 days depending on the increase amount.

Q3

What if my tenant claims I haven't made repairs?

California tenants have a right to a habitable living space. If a tenant reports a significant repair issue, you must address it promptly. Failing to do so can lead to tenants withholding rent (after following specific legal procedures), repairing and deducting, or even breaking the lease. Always document repair requests and your response.

Q4

How long does it take for the sheriff to lock out a tenant after I win an eviction?

After you win an Unlawful Detainer case and the court issues a Writ of Possession, the sheriff's department will serve the tenant with a 5-day notice to vacate. If they don't leave, the sheriff will physically remove them. This usually happens within 5-15 days after you deliver the Writ to the sheriff, but it depends on their schedule and backlog.

Q5

Can I refuse to rent to someone with a Section 8 voucher?

No. California has statewide source-of-income protection. This means you cannot discriminate against a prospective tenant solely because they use a housing assistance voucher like Section 8. You must treat them like any other applicant and apply your standard screening criteria.

06Score

What this score means for landlords2

A 8.6/10 places San Ardo in the 98th percentile of California cities on the Eviction Risk Score index. The score is the average of the nine sub-axes, all calibrated on a national 1 to 10 scale where 1 is most landlord-friendly and 10 is most tenant-protective. The 50-year reconstruction shows this score has risen sharply since 1976, a structural drift driven by court-calendar growth, rent-control adoption, and the rise of tenant-side legal aid. The trajectory matters more than the snapshot: the score is the climate, not the weather.