Neighborhood · Ranked #5,153 of 84,120 nationally

Lyon Street Eviction Risk: High , Tustin

Tract 06059074408 · Orange, CA · pop 5,644 · neighborhood within 0.7 mi

Tract 06059074408 sits in the Lyon Street area of Tustin, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 8.6/10. It is home to 5,644 residents. What pushes it up most is tenant-organizing strength at 9.1/10.

Risk score

8.6

High

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 47% Stable renters 33% Owners 20%

Tract context

Occupied units1,436

Renter share79.3%

SVI overall0.94

Poverty rate9.7%

Median income$72,317

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Tustin and the region

Centroid at 33.7377, -117.8366 · click any tract to drill in

Why Lyon Street scores 8.6

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Tustin

5.9

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

5.5

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

9.7% poverty · this tract

2.4

Supply constraint

$2,150 rent vs county FMR

2.4

Rent control risk

Inherited from Tustin

8.2

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

6.1

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Tustin

9.1

Housing court bias

Inherited from Tustin

6.8

How Lyon Street compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

94%Socioeconomic
66%Household composition
91%Racial/ethnic minority
91%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Lyon Street. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

24.3%Housing insecurity
11.1%Utility-shutoff threat
28.3%Food insecurity
22.5%SNAP enrollment
13.6%Transit barriers
19.6%No health insurance
20.0%Frequent mental distress
32.6%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Lyon Street

The severe-burden share is 28%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment. 79% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building nearby. Set annual rent against average income of $72,317 and the ratio lands at 36%, above the conventional 30% ceiling.

Sitting well above the midpoint, rent-regulation exposure reads 8.2/10. Against the Orange County average of 7.0, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 1.6 points.

Cost burden runs 59% here against 51.8% across Orange County. Running cool, economic stress reads 2.4/10. Housing insecurity runs 24.3% against 14.2% nationally.

SNAP participation runs 22.5% against 15.2% nationally. At $2,150 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Tustin commands. On the national scale it lands near the 94th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored.

Social vulnerability reads 9.5/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06059074408

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06059074408?

Census tract 06059074408 in the Lyon Street neighborhood scores 8.6/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06059074408?

Median gross rent is $2,150/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 59% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06059074408?

9.7% of residents in tract 06059074408 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 5,644.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06059074408?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 94th, household 66th, minority 91th, housing 91th.

Is tract 06059074408 considered part of Lyon Street?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06059074408 fall within Lyon Street (neighborhood centroid within 0.7 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06059074408 struggle to pay rent?

About 24.3% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 11.1% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06059074408 compare to Tustin overall?

Tract 06059074408 scores 8.6/10, higher than the parent city of Tustin at 7.6/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Tustin; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Tustin

Top eight tracts in Tustin ranked by composite eviction-risk score.