6 census tracts · pop 27,396 · pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score 8.8/10
· range 8.3–9
La Villita takes in 6 census tracts of Arden-Arcade, CA and houses 27,396 people. It carries an Eviction Risk Score of 8.8/10, in the High tier. Against a Arden-Arcade baseline of 35.9%, 61% of renters here cross the 30%-of-income line.
32% are severely burdened, paying half their income or more in rent. That cohort has no absorption capacity for an unexpected bill, and it is where non-payment filings originate. The strongest single driver of the headline number is tenant-organizing strength at 9.4/10.
74% of occupied units are rented, so comparables are plentiful and vacancy risk is low, but a mispriced renewal loses the tenant to a building two streets over. Running hot is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10.
On the softer side is supply constraint, at 1.5/10. The poverty rate is 23%, which shows up in this model as reduced rent-recovery odds after a judgment. SNAP participation is 29.2% of households versus 15.2% nationally.
Average gross rent is $1,404, 12% below the Arden-Arcade average of $1,588. Food insecurity affects 26.3% of adults, 8.5 points above the national rate.
Among the 6 mapped neighborhoods of Arden-Arcade, it ranks #3 by risk, the middle third. The closest comparables inside the same city are River Park and Sierra Oaks. Social vulnerability runs high at 9/10, concentrating the disaster- and displacement-exposure this model treats as a lagging risk input.
The 6 tracts here are tightly clustered, 0.7 points apart at the extremes.
With little internal variation, 8.8/10 is a fair proxy for any address inside the boundary. The number is rebuilt whenever its ACS, court-record, or statutory inputs change.
Risk score
8.8
High
6 tracts · population-weighted
La Villita vs Arden-ArcadeHow this neighborhood stacks against the citywide average
Single-parent HH, disability, language barriers, age 17- / 65+
Racial/ethnic minority77%ile
Hispanic + non-white share of population
Housing & transport82%ile
Multi-unit structures, mobile homes, crowding, no vehicle
CDC PLACES 2023 · pop-weighted
Eviction-adjacent indicators in La Villita
Average across all constituent tracts, population-weighted. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh) crude prevalence.
19.9%Housing insecurity
12.0%Utility shutoff threat
25.2%Food insecurity
27.9%SNAP enrollment
11.7%No health insurance
37.9%Any disability
Frequently asked
About La Villita
Q1
What is the eviction-risk score for La Villita?
La Villita scores 8.8/10 (High tier) across 6 census tracts. The pop-weighted Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income and poverty signals.
Q2
How does La Villita compare to Arden-Arcade overall?
La Villita scores 1.2 points higher than Arden-Arcade overall (7.6/10). Renters spend 61% of income on rent vs 36% citywide. Average rent: $1,404 vs $1,588.
Q3
What is the average rent in La Villita?
Average gross rent in La Villita is $1,404/month (pop-weighted across 6 census tracts, ACS 5-year 2023). 61% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q4
What percentage of La Villita residents are renters?
74% of La Villita households are renter-occupied (vs 54% in Arden-Arcade). The neighborhood has 27,396 residents.
Q5
Is La Villita a high social-vulnerability area?
La Villita sits in the 89th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index (highly vulnerable). The index combines poverty, unemployment, household composition, racial/ethnic minority share, and housing/transportation factors across all US census tracts.
Q6
Which tracts in La Villita have the highest eviction risk?
The highest-risk constituent tract in La Villita is census tract 06067005505 (score 9/10). Across the 6 tracts in this neighborhood the score ranges from 8.3 to 9, a spread of 0.7 points.
Q7
How safe is La Villita for landlords?
La Villita carries a high-tier eviction-risk profile for landlords (8.8/10). Pop-weighted across 6 constituent tracts, the score blends parent-city rent-control posture, county eviction-process timelines, and tract-specific rent-to-income / poverty signals. Compared to Arden-Arcade as a whole (7.6/10), this neighborhood is higher-risk.
Q8
What is the demographic breakdown of La Villita?
La Villita has 26,868 residents. Top groups: White (non-Hispanic) (33.7%), Hispanic / Latino (26.4%), Asian (non-Hispanic) (18.1%). Source: ACS 5-year 2023, table B03002.
