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Neighborhood · Ranked #3,082 of 84,120 nationally

Elder Creek Eviction Risk: High , Sacramento

Tract 06067003203 · Sacramento, CA · pop 2,974 · neighborhood within 0.6 mi

Tract 06067003203 sits in the Elder Creek area of Sacramento eviction risk, CA, carrying an eviction-risk score of 9.3/10. Population here is 2,974. Against the Sacramento County average of 7.1, this tract reads riskier for landlords by 2.2 points.

Risk score
9.3
High
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 28% Stable renters 20% Owners 52%
Tract context
Occupied units752
Renter share47.9%
SVI overall0.94
Poverty rate25.3%
Median income$62,727

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
100 th percentile
Rank, 100th percentileLowHigh
#1 of 5 tracts In Elder Creek
Very High
Within parent city
84 th percentile
Rank, 84th percentileLowHigh
#22 of 131 tracts In Sacramento
High
Within county
98 th percentile
Rank, 98th percentileLowHigh
#7 of 363 tracts In Sacramento
Very High
Within state
85 th percentile
Rank, 85th percentileLowHigh
#1,347 of 9,109 tracts In California
High
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sacramento and the region

Centroid at 38.5133, -121.4182 · click any tract to drill in

Why Elder Creek scores 9.3

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sacramento
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
25.3% poverty · this tract
6.3
Supply constraint
$1,473 rent vs county FMR
1.7
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sacramento
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sacramento
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sacramento
8.0

How Elder Creek compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
Elder Creek risk score vs. parent city / county / stateThis tract: 9.39.3This tracttract 003203Sacramento: 7.97.9Sacramentoparent cityCounty: 7.17.1Countyavg tract in countyState: 7.57.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 94

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within Elder Creek. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in Elder Creek

The score leans hardest on rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10. The severe-burden share is 23%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Sitting well above the midpoint, eviction-process difficulty reads 8.5/10. Food insecurity runs 32.9% against 17.8% nationally.

Running cool, supply constraint reads 1.7/10. 58% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, higher than the Sacramento County average of 50.2%.

The poverty rate is 25%. Judgments in high-poverty tracts are collectible far less often than filing counts suggest. Average gross rent is $1,473, 17% below the Sacramento average.

Housing insecurity runs 22.6% against 14.2% nationally. Nationally it ranks #3,082 of 84,120 for landlord eviction difficulty.

Social vulnerability reads 9.4/10 on the CDC index, a measure of exposure to housing and economic shocks. Statewide the CA average is 7.5, so this tract runs 1.8 points hotter. Of its three components the household composition measure is the most pressured.

These are ACS 5-year estimates; the score moves when the ACS, court-record, or statute inputs behind it move.

Frequently asked

About tract 06067003203

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06067003203?

Census tract 06067003203 in the Elder Creek neighborhood scores 9.3/10 (High tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06067003203?

Median gross rent is $1,473/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 58% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06067003203?

25.3% of residents in tract 06067003203 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 2,974.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06067003203?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 94th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 88th, household 98th, minority 90th, housing 70th.
Q5

Is tract 06067003203 considered part of Elder Creek?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06067003203 fall within Elder Creek (neighborhood centroid within 0.6 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06067003203 struggle to pay rent?

About 22.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 12.0% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06067003203 compare to Sacramento overall?

Tract 06067003203 scores 9.3/10, higher than the parent city of Sacramento at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sacramento eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sacramento

Top eight tracts in Sacramento ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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