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Neighborhood · Ranked #12,481 of 84,120 nationally

South Natomas Eviction Risk: Elevated , Sacramento

Tract 06067007012 · Sacramento, CA · pop 3,841 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

With a score of 7.1/10, tract 06067007012 in the South Natomas area of Sacramento, CA reads elevated for landlord eviction risk. The severe-burden share is 26%, and it is the single best predictor in this model of a filing that actually reaches judgment.

Risk score
7.1
Elevated
Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale
Household mix · 100 hh
Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 21% Owners 62%
Tract context
Occupied units1,392
Renter share38.4%
SVI overall0.54
Poverty rate6.0%
Median income$94,873

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.
Within neighborhood
0 th percentile
Rank, 0th percentileLowHigh
#6 of 6 tracts In South Natomas
Very Low
Within parent city
21 th percentile
Rank, 21st percentileLowHigh
#104 of 131 tracts In Sacramento
Low
Within county
50 th percentile
Rank, 50th percentileLowHigh
#181 of 363 tracts In Sacramento
Moderate
Within state
44 th percentile
Rank, 44th percentileLowHigh
#5,095 of 9,109 tracts In California
Moderate
Geographic context

Risk heat across Sacramento and the region

Centroid at 38.6204, -121.5016 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Natomas scores 7.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly
Local political climate
Inherited from Sacramento
8.0
Regional political climate
2024 county presidential margin
6.3
State political climate
California legislature & governorship
6.8
Economic stress
6.0% poverty · this tract
1.5
Supply constraint
$1,562 rent vs county FMR
2.1
Rent control risk
Inherited from Sacramento
8.5
Eviction process difficulty
State law sets the calendar
8.5
Tenant organizing strength
Inherited from Sacramento
7.5
Housing court bias
Inherited from Sacramento
8.0

How South Natomas compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.
South Natomas risk score vs. parent city / county / state7.1This tracttract 0070127.9Sacramentoparent city7.1Countyavg tract in county7.5Stateavg tract in state
CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Natomas. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Natomas

The dominant input is rent-regulation exposure at 8.5/10. On the high side, eviction-process difficulty reads 8.5/10.

Running cool, economic stress reads 1.5/10. 45% of renter households cross the 30%-of-income line, below the Sacramento County average of 50.2%. At $1,562 a month, rents run 12% under what the rest of Sacramento commands.

On the national scale it lands near the 85th percentile of the 84,120 tracts scored. CDC social-vulnerability scoring puts the tract at 5.8/10.

Poverty sits at 6%, low enough that arrears here usually signal a specific shock rather than a structural income gap. It tracks the Sacramento County average of 7.1 closely. Annual rent works out to 20% of average household income of $94,873.

38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

All figures here are ACS 5-year estimates for this tract, refreshed as the underlying releases land.

Frequently asked

About tract 06067007012

Q1

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06067007012?

Census tract 06067007012 in the South Natomas neighborhood scores 7.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.
Q2

What is the average rent in tract 06067007012?

Median gross rent is $1,562/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.
Q3

What is the poverty rate in tract 06067007012?

6.0% of residents in tract 06067007012 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,841.
Q4

How socially vulnerable is tract 06067007012?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 71th, minority 84th, housing 41th.
Q5

Is tract 06067007012 considered part of South Natomas?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06067007012 fall within South Natomas (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).
Q6

What share of households in tract 06067007012 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.
Q7

How does tract 06067007012 compare to Sacramento overall?

Tract 06067007012 scores 7.1/10, lower than the parent city of Sacramento at 7.9/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sacramento eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.
Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sacramento

Top eight tracts in Sacramento ranked by composite eviction-risk score.

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