Neighborhood · Ranked #10,885 of 84,120 nationally

South Natomas Eviction Risk: Elevated , Sacramento

Tract 06067007012 · Sacramento, CA · pop 3,841 · neighborhood within 0.5 mi

How risky is the South Natomas neighborhood of Sacramento for landlords? Census tract 06067007012 scores 6.3/10, the Elevated tier. That is riskier than roughly 84% of the 84,120 US census tracts we score.

Rent eats 30% or more of income for 45% of renter households, a severe level, and 26% are severely burdened at 50% or more. The typical renter pays about $1,562 a month while the average household earns $94,873 a year, roughly 20% of income at the averages. About 38% of occupied units are renter-occupied.

Risk score

6.1

Elevated

Confidence 100% · 1–10 scale

Household mix · 100 hh

Burdened renters 17% Stable renters 21% Owners 62%

Tract context

Occupied units1,392

Renter share38.4%

SVI overall0.54

Poverty rate6.0%

Median income$94,873

Percentile rank

Higher percentile = riskier than more peers.

Geographic context

Risk heat across Sacramento and the region

Centroid at 38.6204, -121.5016 · click any tract to drill in

Why South Natomas scores 6.1

9 axes · 1 = landlord-friendly

Local political climate

Inherited from Sacramento

8.0

Regional political climate

2024 county presidential margin

6.3

State political climate

California legislature & governorship

6.8

Economic stress

6.0% poverty · this tract

1.5

Supply constraint

$1,562 rent vs county FMR

2.1

Rent control risk

Inherited from Sacramento

8.5

Eviction process difficulty

State law sets the calendar

8.5

Tenant organizing strength

Inherited from Sacramento

7.5

Housing court bias

Inherited from Sacramento

8.0

How South Natomas compares

Risk score vs. parent city, county, state.

CDC Social Vulnerability Index

SVI percentile: 54

CDC/ATSDR 2022. Higher = more vulnerable. National percentile across 84k tracts.

39%Socioeconomic
71%Household composition
84%Racial/ethnic minority
41%Housing & transportation

Comparable tracts

Census tracts with similar eviction risk

Within South Natomas. Closest by Eviction Risk Score.

CDC PLACES 2023 · health & economic stress

Eviction-adjacent indicators

Crude prevalence of conditions linked to housing loss. Source: CDC PLACES (cwsq-ngmh), 2023 model-based small-area estimates.

14.6%Housing insecurity
7.6%Utility-shutoff threat
15.2%Food insecurity
14.2%SNAP enrollment
8.8%Transit barriers
8.6%No health insurance
17.1%Frequent mental distress
28.5%Any disability

Analysis

What drives eviction risk in South Natomas

What moves this score most is eviction process difficulty at 8.5/10. That part comes from the wider legal climate rather than the tract itself. Statewide and court-level factors such as eviction-process speed and rent-control exposure are inherited from Sacramento eviction risk, while the economic and supply signals are measured at the tract level.

Set against its neighbors, this tract scores about the same as the Sacramento County average of 6.3 and in line with the California statewide average of 6.1. Within its own county it reads on the riskier side for landlords.

In CDC survey modeling, about 14.6% of adults here said they could not pay rent or mortgage at some point in the past year, and 7.6% faced a utility shutoff threat, a common early warning before a filing.

The tract is Hispanic or Latino and White and ranks around the 54th percentile nationally on the CDC Social Vulnerability Index, a measure of how exposed residents are to housing and economic shocks. That is a middle-of-the-pack reading for social vulnerability.

For a landlord, this is a tract where process discipline pays off. Clean paperwork and steady screening keep the elevated risk manageable.

Frequently asked

About tract 06067007012

What is the eviction-risk score for census tract 06067007012?

Census tract 06067007012 in the South Natomas neighborhood scores 6.1/10 (Elevated tier). The Eviction Risk Score blends state law, county filing rates, parent-city politics, and tract-specific rent-to-income ratios + poverty signals.

What is the average rent in tract 06067007012?

Median gross rent is $1,562/month (ACS 5-year 2023, table B25064). 45% of renter households are cost-burdened.

What is the poverty rate in tract 06067007012?

6.0% of residents in tract 06067007012 live below the federal poverty line (ACS B17001, 2023). Population: 3,841.

How socially vulnerable is tract 06067007012?

CDC Social Vulnerability Index ranks this tract in the 54th percentile nationally. Sub-themes: socioeconomic 39th, household 71th, minority 84th, housing 41th.

Is tract 06067007012 considered part of South Natomas?

Yes. Per Census Bureau 2020 Block Assignment Files, the plurality of blocks in tract 06067007012 fall within South Natomas (neighborhood centroid within 0.5 miles, OSM data).

What share of households in tract 06067007012 struggle to pay rent?

About 14.6% of adults in this tract reported housing insecurity (could not pay rent or mortgage in the past 12 months), per the CDC PLACES 2023 model-based small-area estimate. 7.6% also reported utility shutoff threats, a frequent precursor to eviction filings.

How does tract 06067007012 compare to Sacramento overall?

Tract 06067007012 scores 6.1/10, lower than the parent city of Sacramento at 9.2/10. City-scale signals (state law, local rent controls, court bias) are inherited from Sacramento eviction risk; what makes this tract different are its tract-specific economic stress and supply-constraint sub-scores.

Sibling tracts

Highest-risk tracts in Sacramento

Top eight tracts in Sacramento ranked by composite eviction-risk score.